why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Groom: Waymo is far better than Tesla despite having fewer cars
“Tesla has this, Incredible advantage with how much data they're collecting and passively, yet Waymo is so much better so far, and it has so many fewer cars on the roads.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Groom: General-purpose robotics will likely follow a 15-year development arc
“There's fundamental research breakthroughs that, that we need to make, and much like self-driving had a, it's what, like a 15 year arc at this point, there is a very high likelihood that robotics is the same way.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Groom: Consumer robotics deployment will require 98% to 99% reliability
“I think there'll be a point at which it gets good enough that we can deploy it to consumers, but it's not going to be, like, 50%. It's going to be closer to 98, 99%.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Groom: Physical Intelligence works with most new robotics startups globally
“We work with, I'd say probably most of the new robotics companies starting in the U S and abroad.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Groom: Subscale industry gives US time to build domestic robotics supply chains
“Most of the money is being spent on R and D rather than scale production. And so it's not as if there's a 100,000 robots that everyone's buying and it's now just twice as expensive. I think the good thing is that given it's subscale, there's a lot of time to b…”
Insight
Groom: Getting robots to do backflips is much easier than folding laundry
“Robots doing backflips, which is a much easier problem than actually a robot folding laundry”
Disclosure
Groom: Physical Intelligence prioritizes manipulation tasks over conversational UI
“It's not a big focus of ours right now, really. We're so focused on, on manipulation and economically valuable tasks and more so than that, the fundamental building blocks that we think gets us from here to physical intelligence.”