The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
OpenAI projects $6 billion in stock-based compensation for 2025
“Company expects to spend six billion this year on stock-based comp, almost half of its projected revenue.”
Jordan Higgins Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 18:53 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Opinion
Higgins: AI pure plays have undergone a rolling market correction
“They've traded down almost 75% since their IPO. So it seems like, yeah, we've basically seen this kind of rolling correction across every single AI pure play.”
Jordan Higgins Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 24:49 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Assertion Supported
OpenAI eliminates six-month equity vesting cliff for employees
“OpenAI ended a policy earlier this week that required employees to work at the company for six months before their equity vested.”
Jordan Higgins Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 16:21 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Assertion Supported
xAI shortened equity vesting cliff from 12 to 6 months
“A few months ago, XAI shortened their waiting period known as a vesting cliff from 12 months to six.”
Jordan Higgins Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 16:27 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
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