why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
OpenAI acquires live tech broadcast network TBPN
“This is from the open AI blog, open AI acquires TBPN, accelerating the global conversation about AI. This is not an April fool's joke.”
Disclosure
TBPN retains full editorial independence under OpenAI acquisition agreement
“TBPN will continue to run their programming, choose their own guests and make their own editorial decisions. That's foundational to their credibility. And it's something we're explicitly protecting as part of this agreement.”
Disclosure
TBPN will retain complete editorial independence under OpenAI ownership
“A core part of this is editorial independence. We can say whatever we want because we're live and we don't need to run anything through anyone.”
Disclosure
TBPN will sit in OpenAI's strategy org reporting to Chris Lehane
“TBPN will sit within our strategy organization, reporting to Chris Lehane”
Disclosure
Coogan: I have spent weeks actively courting journalists to write hit pieces
“I've been courting hit pieces with journalists for the last couple of weeks, talking to them just freely, just on the record, just ripping quotes, just saying whatever.”
Disclosure
Coogan and Hays presented at Hereticon arguing that psychedelics are terrible
“And our, basically our pitch was like, no, psychedelics are terrible.”
Disclosure
Nicotine startup Lucy spent millions and a decade awaiting FDA approval
“You could spend millions of dollars and wait a decade, which is exactly what we did. But we were able to actually grow the brand and sell the product and like set up operations and iron out things and iterate a little bit during that time, fortunately.”
Disclosure
Cognition insiders heavily coordinated text outreach to amplify the Devin launch
“When the cognition Devon GA launch happened, I got multiple texts from people who were closer to the company saying, Hey, here's the tweet. Like, can you amplify it?”
Disclosure
TBPN will broadcast live three hours daily post-acquisition
“TBPN is not going away. We're going to be live every day, three hours, as long as we want.”
Disclosure
Coogan pays $250 monthly for Google Veo 3 due to lacking competition
“VO three was the moment when I was like, okay, they got something that nobody else has. I got a fork over two 50 a month.”
Disclosure
Coogan switched to daily driving the Gemini iOS app for knowledge retrieval
“I switched to daily driving Gemini on iOS as the main app that I go to for all the different knowledge retrieval requests.”
Disclosure
John Coogan's post-Y Combinator startup burned $3,000 monthly with three founders
“Cause when you're post YC, our burn rate was three K a month for three people.”
Disclosure
Lucy's e-commerce revenue share dropped from 99% to under one-third
“Like, we were 99% e-commerce for years. Now it's less than a third of the business.”
Disclosure
Coogan: Karl Nell's talk raised my alien probability from 3% to 10%
“It materially updated my, like, expected value of aliens being real. Now, I probably went from, like, three percent to 10%”
Disclosure
Coogan Received an Approved Patent for Breakers Capsule Nicotine Pouches
“I got my first patent approved. ... Breakers. ... First capsule nicotine pouch.”
Disclosure
Coogan: Rick Rubin Reached Out to Lucy to Advertise on Tetragrammaton
“Well, he reached out to us. He, like, likes the brand.”
Disclosure
Coogan: Onboarding Ramp required persistent SDR follow-ups despite knowing founders
“I was close with the ramp founders and wanted to onboard and it still took a persistent sales rep to actually be at the top of my email regularly for me to do the internal tasks just to make it happen.”
Disclosure
Coogan: Built a custom DIY sleep tracker using an accelerometer in 2013
“In 2013, I was so into the quantified self stuff. I basically invented my own eight sleep. I took an accelerometer Hooked it to an Arduino. Strapped it to the edge of my bed, and it could track the movement of the bed, and then I'd have that talk to the intern…”