The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Weisenthal: The US Treasury Market Is Literally a Prediction Market
“The U.S. Treasury market is literally a prediction market because U.S. Treasuries at any point in the curve are the ensemble prediction of what the Fed is expected to do over the course of any given time. So a five-year Treasury is what the next five years of …”
Weisenthal: The jobs report is the gold standard for business climate
“The super bowl is always going to be jobs day because it's a really good high quality survey. If you want to understand, like our business is in a mood to invest and are they feeling good? I mean, there's no better measure than are they actually willing to lik…”