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The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕
3statements match
0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Elon Musk: Space will be cheapest location for AI compute in 2-3 years
“The lowest cost place to put AI will be space. And that'll be true within two years. Maybe three. Three at the latest.”
Elon Musk Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 9:37 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Musk: AI and humanoid robots will eliminate global poverty
“But AI and humanoid robots will actually eliminate poverty.”
Elon Musk Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 14:13 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Disclosure
Elon Musk: Tesla will probably have to build a gigantic chip fab
“I can't see any other way to get to the volume of chips that, that we're looking for. So, I think we're probably gonna have to build a gigantic chip app.”
Elon Musk Nov 8, 2025 ▶ 18:49 Elon's Trillion Dollar Pay Package | Diet TBPN
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