why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Patel: Power is less than 10% of total AI cluster cost
“Power is less than 10% of the cost of the cluster. Right? So, so like, it's that 90% you're not saving anything on.”
Assertion Partly supported
Patel: Meta licensed all of Midjourney's code, data, and models
“Meta's licensed all of Midjourney's code, data, models.”
Assertion Supported
Patel: OpenAI's 750MW deal is small compared to 16GW 2028 target
“So the OpenAI deal is like for seven 50 megawatts, it's not that much capacity. On the order of like what OpenAI has talked about, you know, by the end of 28 they'll be at like 16 gigawatts.”
Assertion Supported
Patel: Google is splitting TPU production between Broadcom and MediaTek
“Yeah, so, so for the longest time Google's had, ah, one main line of TPUs, right? All made by Broadcom, and then sort of next year they've diverged it, right? Where Broadcom makes a TPU, ah, and MediaTek makes a TPU. These two TPUs are focused at different thi…”
Assertion Partly supported
Patel: Memory chip manufacturers have built no new fabs since 2022
“The memory makers, in fact, have just not expanded capacity, basically, they have not built new fabs since twenty-twenty-two.”
Assertion Supported
Patel: Chinese users access Anthropic via routing through neighboring countries
“I think Anthropic does not sell AI access to China. You know, they loop it through, and you can see this in the traffic data. They go through Korea and Japan and other places, but like, and so they get it.”