The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Amodei: Frontier AI oligopoly will not equilibrate to zero margins
“If there's like three firms, if there's three firms in the economy, all are kind of independently behaving, behaving rationally, it doesn't equilibrate to zero.”
Amodei: Deployed AI models are profitable, but labs lose money scaling training
“Each model makes money, but the company loses money.”
Amodei: AI market with three rational firms will not collapse to zero margins
“The point is it doesn't equilibrate to perfect competition with zero margins. If there's like three firms, if there's three firms in the economy, All are kind of independently behaving, behaving rationally. It doesn't equilibrate to zero.”