The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roberts: LP denominator effect will constrain VC liquidity for 1-2 years
“I think that denominator effect is probably more pronounced than I've ever seen it in my venture career, and that's going to cause the longer term liquidity issues you're talking about, Jordy, in terms of kind of how, what the funding cycles look like over the…”
Bryce Roberts Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 7:13 Why the MARKET Is More FRAGILE Than EVER | Bryce Roberts on TBPN April 7th
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roberts: Non-exceptional startups will struggle to raise funding for 18 months
“Counting on either support from your existing investors or a next round materializing over the next 18 months if you aren't just like absolutely crushing it and putting up insane numbers like I'm sure most of your audience does. But in that case, unless you're…”
Bryce Roberts Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 8:41 Why the MARKET Is More FRAGILE Than EVER | Bryce Roberts on TBPN April 7th
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