why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson predicts 'Don't Die' will become the world's dominant ideology
“Our primary hypothesis is as this evolves, the major shift is humans are going to want life. Like, you know, if AI takes our jobs and they take what we do and we want to find new identity, there's going to be a major shift towards don't die. And it's going to …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson predicts Blueprint's platform will exceed the FDA in value
“I think that we will exceed them in value in many core areas. Because they, you, they can take, you know, well-structured, well-funded clinical trials. But then other things like peptides that are very promising. They're not going to have the clinical work.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Humanity Is Giving Birth to Superintelligence
“We are giving birth to some kind of super intelligence. We don't know what it is. We don't know what kind of scale, but it's big. It's important.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Blueprint aims to become a multi-trillion-dollar longevity market winner
“Basically, somebody's gonna set up shop in longevity and ride a multi-trillion dollar ride. So that's what we're trying to do, is we're trying to just be home base, win the early innings of longevity, and then ride for the multi-trillion dollar market.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Competitors are very unlikely to successfully unseat Stripe
“It's very unlikely. They've done such a great job executing. I sold Braintree in 2013, so they've been building 12 years since. They've done such a good job making that airtight.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Human health management will be run autonomously in the future
“Our health will be run on our behalf. So right now we have to chase down all our food, we have to chase down protocols, we have to chase down evidence, but it's not going to be that in the future. It will be that it will just be run for us.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: The longevity hype cycle will peak around 2032
“I think we're probably going to hit peak in something like. 2032, you know, like, ish. Like. A few things will hit when people will be like, it's here.”