why aren't all 20 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson says organic products typically test worse than non-organic foods
“When we test organic, It typically performs worse than non-organic on many, many variables.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson predicts 'Don't Die' will become the world's dominant ideology
“Our primary hypothesis is as this evolves, the major shift is humans are going to want life. Like, you know, if AI takes our jobs and they take what we do and we want to find new identity, there's going to be a major shift towards don't die. And it's going to …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson predicts Blueprint's platform will exceed the FDA in value
“I think that we will exceed them in value in many core areas. Because they, you, they can take, you know, well-structured, well-funded clinical trials. But then other things like peptides that are very promising. They're not going to have the clinical work.”
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson launches Immortals, a $1 million per year personal longevity program
“So it's called Immortals. A million dollars a year. And it's my exact protocol. So my doctors, my concierge team, all the testing infrastructure.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Humanity Is Giving Birth to Superintelligence
“We are giving birth to some kind of super intelligence. We don't know what it is. We don't know what kind of scale, but it's big. It's important.”
Opinion
Johnson: Project Blueprint is fundamentally about AI alignment
“What a lot of people don't realize is this endeavor is entirely about AI alignment.”
Opinion
Johnson: GLP-1s are probably the most successful anti-aging drug ever built
“It's probably the most successful anti-aging drug ever built.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Blueprint aims to become a multi-trillion-dollar longevity market winner
“Basically, somebody's gonna set up shop in longevity and ride a multi-trillion dollar ride. So that's what we're trying to do, is we're trying to just be home base, win the early innings of longevity, and then ride for the multi-trillion dollar market.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Competitors are very unlikely to successfully unseat Stripe
“It's very unlikely. They've done such a great job executing. I sold Braintree in 2013, so they've been building 12 years since. They've done such a good job making that airtight.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Human health management will be run autonomously in the future
“Our health will be run on our behalf. So right now we have to chase down all our food, we have to chase down protocols, we have to chase down evidence, but it's not going to be that in the future. It will be that it will just be run for us.”
Disclosure
Johnson: Blueprint will offer GLP-1 prescriptions and telemedicine infrastructure
“We will build an infrastructure to basically, when you want a prescription, if you want to go on a GLP-ONE, we can help you get started. Whether you want a large dose or a micro dose,”
Insight
Johnson: Healthtech lacks proprietary advantages; UX integration will determine the winners
“So basically if you look at the landscape and health right now, nothing is proprietary. You basically got wearables from all these from providers, you have food from providers, you have biomarkers, like nothing's proprietary. And so the winner's going to have …”
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson says olive oil makes up 15% of his daily calories
“No, I mean, it's 15% of my daily caloric intake. I consume more olive oil than any food.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson collected billions of biological data points on himself over five years
“So for me, over the past five years, we are counting yesterday we have a few billion data points on me over the past five years. And so, then if you say, what of those few billion data points are usable? Probably a few hundred million.”
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson says Blueprint is building AI to deliver autonomous health
“We are going to deliver autonomous health. And so like there's self-driving cars, there's self-writing software. This is autonomous health. So we're building AI that just says do this.”
Assertion Supported
Bryan Johnson notes many popular peptides have zero human clinical data
“Some peptides have done the clinical work, like there's hepatitis, but then there's a whole bunch of the class of peptides that we have no human data on.”
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson says Blueprint will let users sell their personal health data
“Our goal is to create the world's largest data set across all these sectors. And then you basically can create an ecosystem where the person could be paid for their data. So they collect the data, they're starting to the experimentation. Companies come in and …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Major hotel chains want to launch Blueprint health retreats
“We have about a dozen groups around the world that want to stand this up, and some of the biggest hotel chains around the world.”
Disclosure
Johnson: Blueprint will license its IP rather than open physical clinics
“We probably will not do physical clinics. It's just too much on the real estate. And so, but we'll probably license it out. We'll probably do the digital model.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: The longevity hype cycle will peak around 2032
“I think we're probably going to hit peak in something like. 2032, you know, like, ish. Like. A few things will hit when people will be like, it's here.”