why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Harris: Most AI crypto projects are copy-paste AI with a token
“Most of the AI crypto projects we had seen had been just like not really interesting. It was more like copy paste from existing AI companies, and then they would like slap a token on top. So it would be like character AI with a token, like Langchain, but with …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Harris: SEC under new administration will stop targeting Coinbase and Uniswap
“I don't think they'll be issuing Wells notices at random to, like, Coinbase and Uniswap, because that's just dumb, but, like, they will be actually going after, like, legit scams.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harris: Crypto community upset over XRP and Cardano in Strategic Reserve
“I think generally people were a little bit upset because, you know, the XRP, the Cardano inclusion, just like, there's basically two plausible explanations that I think the crypto community came to for why this could be the case. One is just like simple, like …”
Disclosure
Harris: Founders Fund has paused new deals amid high crypto valuations
“The sentiment isn't amazing, but I would say prices on new deals that we've been seeing have been, like, asymmetrically high. Like, we, the last deal we did was Prime Intellect, and that was in, I want to say October or November. So we haven't done, like, a ne…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harris: Regulatory risk drove many Founders Fund DeFi founders out of US
“DeFi founders had it the worst. I think the past four years, like, many of our founders just fully moved out of the United States because the risk was just, like, You know, way too high.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Harris: Bitcoin whales will widely adopt lending protocols to avoid selling
“And, like, if you can lend against your Bitcoin and make your asset more productive, like, there's going to be so many whales that, that, that want to do that. Like, they just do not want to sell.”
Opinion
Harris: B2B cross-border settlement is the most compelling stablecoin use case
“I think, like, right now, the most interesting use case for stable coins is probably in, like, B to B payments, just because that's where there's the most volume. It's, like, yeah, like, literally, like, you know, billions and billions of dollars of volume per…”
Assertion Supported
Harris: Prime Intellect completed 1.1B and 10B parameter distributed training runs
“Like they did the 1.1 billion parameter, you know, training run. Like a few months later, they completed like a ten billion parameter training run.”
Assertion Supported
Harris: Prime Intellect open-sourced DeepMind's DiLoCo framework as OpenDiLoCo
“Basically what they did is Google deep mind released a paper called like D loco which stands for like distributed low communications framework. And they implemented that, but in like an open source way, like they called it open D loco such that like you can tr…”
Disclosure
Harris: Founders Fund received roughly 50 stablecoin pitches post-Bridge deal
“I think after the bridge acquisition, we genuinely got like. Probably, like, 50 stable coin pitches. Like, it was legitimately, like, insane.”