why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji: DeFi Asset Swaps Will Destroy National Fiat Monopolies
“Cash is universal barter. Cash can be traded for anything, but now anything can be traded for anything, which means there's less need for cash, right? And so all these countries will wake up one day and they'll find, wait a second, just like the newspapers, we…”
Opinion
Balaji Srinivasan: Traditional Academia Is Basically Over
“Obviously traditional academia is basically over as we know it. It's about 10 different things hitting it at the same time. And it's, you know, lost trust and credibility and so on.”
Insight
Balaji: Startup societies must scale demographics like enterprise SaaS
“In the same way, like you first kind of have to build a product that works for like the individual remote worker, then maybe the couple where it's a two body problem, then like, you know, the early family, then the scaled up family, then like the whole communi…”
Insight
Balaji: Zero-Knowledge Tech Is to Crypto What Transformers Are to AI
“Zero knowledge arguably is, and Vitalik's also made this analogy, ZK arguably is to crypto what the transformer is to AI in the sense of, It takes a bunch of things that were previously special case stuff, and it puts it into kind of a common framework where y…”
Insight
Balaji: Stablecoins Are an Intermediate Step to Pure Crypto
“Sablecoins are an intermediate form that facilitates this transition from the, you know, fiat world to the pure crypto world. Kind of like putting newspapers online was an intermediate form.”
Insight
Balaji Srinivasan: College Front-Loads Costs Without Budgeting Lifelong Maintenance
“One issue is it's like front loading all the cost to the beginning, and then there's zero budgeted for maintenance over somebody's life. So it's as if you paid 200,000 dollars for a car and then zero For oil or gas or, you know, wheel changes or so on for the …”
Insight
Balaji: Blockchain immutability and programmability are fundamentally in conflict
“The problem is that like gold should be as immutable as possible and mutability is in conflict with, I mean, programmability is a good value and immutable is a good value, but those are like you know, fire and water. They don't mix, right? There's, you know, y…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji: Markets Will Split Between US-Regulated and Global Products
“And the space is partitioned in an interesting way, and I think many other things will partition this way into like a US and a global, right? Like the USDC coin or the USDC asset is like US regulated, and then USDT is like intentionally non-US regulated, right…”
Insight
Balaji: 24/7 Uptime Alone Justifies Stablecoin Market Caps
“Well, at a minimum, they're better international wire transfers. That alone justifies their market cap. That's like, Tens of billions of dollars in Marquette because they just save you from 25 dollars and more importantly, you know, banks are only open like ni…”