The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2031
Huberman: Retatrutide will become a trillion-dollar drug
“This is going to be a trillion dollar drug, trillion dollar, but people are already taking it.”
Andrew Huberman Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 16:24 The Peptide That “Changes Everything” with Andrew Huberman
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Huberman: MDMA will ultimately receive FDA approval for PTSD
“So I think ultimately it will be approved.”
Andrew Huberman Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 18:38 Andrew Huberman on the Uncertain Future of Science
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
MDMA will ultimately receive FDA approval for PTSD
“So I think ultimately it will be approved.”
Andrew Huberman Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 1:29:49 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Huberman: Neuralink will solve paralysis
“I fully believe that Neuralink is going to solve paralysis. I really do. I'm not saying that cause we're on exits. I know the head neurosurgeon there, they're well on their way.”
Andrew Huberman Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 1:37:41 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Huberman: Slashing indirect research costs will disproportionately hurt unendowed public universities
“I just personally, it's my view, this is my personal view, is that a severe cut to the indirects, while on the face of it might sound good, that's going to disproportionately Hurt the public schools without large endowments, okay, because they don't have money…”
Andrew Huberman Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 7:19 Andrew Huberman on the Uncertain Future of Science
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