The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Tan: 100% of YC companies currently have technical co-founders
“What's happening is that like, you know, a hundred percent of YC companies these days have technical co-founders”
Garry Tan Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 0:47 Garry Tan talks the state of YC, the impact of AI, and the dawn of innovation.
Assertion Partly supported
Garry Tan: About 90% of YC batch companies are AI startups
“You know, I think we're about 90% AI and you know, the age of intelligence is here.”
Garry Tan Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 15:06 Garry Tan talks the state of YC, the impact of AI, and the dawn of innovation.
Assertion Supported
Y Combinator Does Not Avoid Investing in Direct Competitors
“Why sees a mafia? Like they will crown a champion and then they will never do a deal in that space again. And it's kind of like the exact opposite. Totally not true.”
John Coogan Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 33:54 FACT CHECKERS vs. tech article (ep14)
Assertion Contradicted
Hays: Y Combinator Found Wealthy Founders Have Higher Success Rates
“I think YC did an analysis on their portfolio and they found that founders that came from money had a higher likelihood of success”
Jordi Hays Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 2:00:08 Low T levels at Y-Combinator (ep9)
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Nvidia and YC-Backed Startup Plans Moon Hotel by 2032
“A new startup backed by Nvidia and Y Combinator is planning to develop the first hotel on the moon by 2032.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 30:08 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Garry Tan: Y Combinator acceptance rate is down to 0.8 percent
“We're accepting companies at a 0.8% rate right now.”
Garry Tan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 2:03:17 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: Ginkgo Bioworks went through YC at ~200M valuation
“Giggo Bioworks went through at like, two hundred million valuation.”
John Coogan Dec 14, 2024 ▶ 45:05 Surviving a VC Holiday Party (ep22)
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Six percent of Y Combinator startups become unicorns
“With six percent of YC startups already becoming unicorns, if Gupta can add the value that we think he can, there's no reason he can't add billions to YC's future returns.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 19:03 Inside Facebooks Secret "Red Book" (ep18)
Assertion Supported
Coogan: YC applications are intended to be unedited one-minute webcam videos
“You're supposed to just turn on the webcam and basically just talk for one minute. That's how you apply to YC. Yeah. You're supposed to just one shot at no editing because they don't want it to turn into, oh, to apply to YC, you spend two weeks doing an edited…”
John Coogan Nov 13, 2025 ▶ 12:17 Wednesday’s Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Garry Tan: YC Spring 2025 batch is 90% AI, 11% hard tech
“Dude, it's like 90% AI. It's about 10% 11% hard tech, which is awesome.”
Garry Tan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 1:50:26 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Assertion Supported
Palantir, 8VC, and Y Combinator joined the New American Industrial Alliance
“Members include Palantir, Eight VC, Y Combinator, Hadrian, Allen Control Systems, and many more.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 47:43 Billionaires XMAS list (ep21)
Assertion Supported
Hays: Y Combinator hires Ankit Gupta as Winter 2025 visiting partner
“Y Combinator just made a high-profile off-season pickup, bringing in Ankit Gupta as a visiting partner for their winter, 20, 25 batch.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 17:35 Inside Facebooks Secret "Red Book" (ep18)
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: Coinbase offered a 1 BTC referral bonus during YC Summer 2012
“In our YC batch, the referral bonus for going on Coinbase at the time was one Bitcoin.”
John Coogan Nov 16, 2024 ▶ 1:32:23 What is the TRUMP BUBBLE? (ep11)
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: Study links higher founder testosterone to more venture capital raised
“I, the positive thing from that study though, is that it seemed like the more venture capital the founders raised, the higher their T levels were.”
Jordi Hays Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 2:28:32 Low T levels at Y-Combinator (ep9)
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