why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Tan: 100% of YC companies currently have technical co-founders
“What's happening is that like, you know, a hundred percent of YC companies these days have technical co-founders”
Assertion Partly supported
Garry Tan: About 90% of YC batch companies are AI startups
“You know, I think we're about 90% AI and you know, the age of intelligence is here.”
Assertion Supported
Y Combinator Does Not Avoid Investing in Direct Competitors
“Why sees a mafia? Like they will crown a champion and then they will never do a deal in that space again. And it's kind of like the exact opposite. Totally not true.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hays: Y Combinator Found Wealthy Founders Have Higher Success Rates
“I think YC did an analysis on their portfolio
and they found that founders that came from money had a higher likelihood of success”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Nvidia and YC-Backed Startup Plans Moon Hotel by 2032
“A new startup backed by Nvidia and Y Combinator is planning to develop the first hotel on the moon by 2032.”
Assertion Supported
Garry Tan: Y Combinator acceptance rate is down to 0.8 percent
“We're accepting companies at a 0.8% rate right now.”
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: Ginkgo Bioworks went through YC at ~200M valuation
“Giggo Bioworks went through at like, two hundred million valuation.”
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Six percent of Y Combinator startups become unicorns
“With six percent of YC startups already becoming unicorns, if Gupta can add the value that we think he can, there's no reason he can't add billions to YC's future returns.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: YC applications are intended to be unedited one-minute webcam videos
“You're supposed to just turn on the webcam and basically just talk for one minute. That's how you apply to YC. Yeah. You're supposed to just one shot at no editing because they don't want it to turn into, oh, to apply to YC, you spend two weeks doing an edited…”
Assertion Supported
Garry Tan: YC Spring 2025 batch is 90% AI, 11% hard tech
“Dude, it's like 90% AI. It's about 10% 11% hard tech, which is awesome.”
Assertion Supported
Palantir, 8VC, and Y Combinator joined the New American Industrial Alliance
“Members include Palantir,
Eight VC, Y Combinator, Hadrian, Allen Control Systems, and many more.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Y Combinator hires Ankit Gupta as Winter 2025 visiting partner
“Y Combinator just made a high-profile off-season pickup, bringing in Ankit Gupta as a visiting partner for their winter, 20, 25 batch.”
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: Coinbase offered a 1 BTC referral bonus during YC Summer 2012
“In our YC batch, the referral bonus for going on Coinbase at the time was one Bitcoin.”
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: Study links higher founder testosterone to more venture capital raised
“I, the positive thing from that study though, is that it seemed like the more venture capital the founders raised, the higher their T levels were.”