The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

What-if
Donald Trump Could Have Quickly Built a $100M ARR Substack
“Yeah, and Trump could have thrown up a sub stack and gotten to nine figures of ARR very, very quickly. But he wouldn't, it would have taken much longer to become a billionaire that way.”
Jordi Hays Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 25:29 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Assertion Supported
Truth Social Lost Nearly $400M on $1M Revenue at $10B Valuation
“In the last 12 months they did a little over a million dollars in revenue. They EBITDA was negative one hundred million, net income was negative four hundred million, roughly, three 80, and it's almost a ten billion dollar company.”
John Coogan Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 38:16 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Assertion Contradicted
Truth Social Reached a $10B Valuation Faster Than Recent Tech Startups
“If you actually look at the numbers, I couldn't name another company that got to a ten billion dollar valuation in tech in less than two years in this recent cycle.”
John Coogan Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 0:41 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Assertion Contradicted
Hays: Truth Social generated only about $1M in revenue last year
“Truth Social, while they have a fantastic valuation, they only did about a million in revenue last year.”
Jordi Hays Nov 30, 2024 ▶ 22:45 Taylor Lorenz Trades Teams (ep16)
Assertion Supported
Truth Social Had 866K First-Week Installs Versus 100K for Instagram
“More than eight, 866,000 people installed it in the first week. Instagram, by comparison, only signed up about a 100,000 users in its launch week.”
John Coogan Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 52:57 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Assertion Supported
Donald Trump Received 90% Equity in Initial Truth Social Deal
“In this case, Trump got 90% of the new company.”
John Coogan Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 9:00 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Assertion Supported
Truth Social Built Its Initial Platform by Forking the Mastodon Codebase
“And then they bring on this, like, remote software engineer from Macedonia, and they're basically forking Mastodon.”
John Coogan Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 18:39 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
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