The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Coogan: TikTok ban is happening unless Trump overrides it
“There is a law that's passed that should ban TikTok. It's happening unless Trump overrides it.”
Coogan: Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX will each own 15% of TikTok US
“You got Oracle, you got private equity firm Silverlake, you got Abu Dhabi-based MGX. They will each own 15% of the new entity, while TikTok investors will own about 30%.”
Hays: TikTok US deal includes a perpetual revenue share to ByteDance
“There's a huge revenue share that's going back to ByteDance in perpetuity that is obviously reflected in the valuation.”
Coogan: Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to own 45% of TikTok US
“TikTok has signed a deal for the sale of the United States unit. The deal should close January 20 22nd. This is from Sarah Fisher, the media correspondent at Axios. Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX will collectively own 45% of the U.S. Entity, 30% We'll be held by…”
Hayes: Jeff Yass Holds Over $30B Stake in ByteDance
“His name is Jeff Yass, a major GOP donor and an investor in ByteDance, therefore TikTok. Presently sitting on a stake in the company worth over thirty billion dollars.”
Coogan: Roblox Monetization Per Minute Is 5x Lower Than TikTok
“Their monetization on a per minute basis is, I think, like five times lower than other platforms, like if you comp it to TikTok or Instagram”
Hays: Perplexity submitted a bid to acquire TikTok earlier in 2025
“Perplexity was also bidding on Tik Tok earlier this year.”
Coogan: Larry Ellison is currently in the conversation to buy TikTok
“Larry Ellison is in the conversation to buy TikTok now.”
Hayes: Project Texas Was Developed by TikTok Under Biden, Not Trump
“Project Texas was developed by TikTok, not the government. It was not developed under Trump's tenure, but President Biden's.”
Coogan: TikTok users average 52 minutes daily, beating other social networks
“Users spend an average of 52 minutes a day on the app, which is significantly higher than any other social network.”
Coogan: Viral Citrini report made the Wall Street Journal cover
“There's people making TikToks about it now. And also it's on the cover of the Wall Street Journal.”
Coogan: TikTok reports reaching 200 million US users
“TikTok said it had two hundred million users in the U.S., up from its twenty-twenty-four estimate of about a hundred and seventy million users”
Coogan: TikTok ban legally targets app store distribution and Oracle hosting
“The law doesn't require TikTok to turn off the app. Instead, the law requires App Store operators like Apple and Google to stop making TikTok available for downloads. It also requires Oracle, TikTok's cloud provider, to stop hosting the app's U.S. Data user da…”
Coogan: X categorizes itself as News to avoid competing with Instagram
“I'm actually surprised it is in productivity because X is famously in news, not in social networking. And so X will typically be at the top of the news subcategory because it would be much harder to compete in the product in the social networking category agai…”