why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Thinking Machines terminates CTO Barrett Zoff due to alleged unethical conduct
“Breaking Thinking Machines has terminated its CTO, Barrett Zoff, due to unethical conduct.”
Assertion Partly supported
Multiple Thinking Machines employees and three co-founders return to OpenAI
“He says more thinking machine Employees are in the process of joining OpenAI after three of the startup's co-founders rejoined yesterday.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Thinking Machines could exit for $30B to $60B within two years
“Thinking machines could probably exit somewhere at between 30 and 60 today. Who has that money? I don't know. Maybe NVIDIA buys them or something. At least at some point over the next two years. I think the most likely acquirers would probably be Microsoft, Ap…”
Assertion Supported
Thinking Machines' Inkling Model Has 975 Billion Total Parameters
“Called Inkling, the model has nine hundred and seventy-five billion total parameters, making it far smaller than estimates of the most advanced closed-source models.”
Assertion Supported
Inkling AI Model Outperforms Nemotron 3 Ultra on Key Benchmarks
“Inkling beats Nemo Tron three ultra and benchmarks put it between Kimi K 2.5 and 2.6.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Thinking Machines Designed Inkling Model Specifically for API Fine-Tuning
“This model is like uniquely set up for the Tinker API. It's built to be fine-tuned. That's the whole point.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Thinking Machines Retains Only Three of Six Original Founders
“The exits, coupled with fellow co-founder Andrew Tulloch's decampment to Meta last fall, leave Thinking Machines with just three of its original six founders.”
Assertion Supported
Thinking Machines' Inkling Model Uses 41 Billion Active Parameters
“Only, I think the number is forty one billion of those are actually like active at any moment.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: 20 OpenAI Employees Left to Join Thinking Machines at Inception
“20 people from OpenAI left during the Thinking Machines Foundation.”