The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 57 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Tesla beats Q1 expectations with $22.4B in revenue and $1.45B net income
“Tesla also released Q one earnings revenue of two point 22.4 billion versus 21.4 billion estimated. So they beat on top line. They also beat on net income. 1.45 billion versus 1.17 billion estimate.”
John Coogan Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 21:11 Thoma Bravo Loses Medallia, OpenAI Drops ChatGPT 5.5, Bob Iger Returns | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
US probe found 3.2M Tesla FSD vehicles run on Samsung chips
“And according to a U S regulatory probe, there were 3.2 million vehicles, Teslas on the road in America with FSD systems that were basically all running Samsung chips inside.”
John Coogan Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 2:55 Samsung’s $70B Chip Bet, Apple Doing Nothing But Winning AI, Bezos’ New Fund | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Tesla valuation is up 22x since the 2018 take-private proposal
“So at that time, Tesla was worth sixty four billion dollars, and he was proposing to take it private at seventy one billion dollars. It's worth 1.44 trillion today. So the stock is up 22 X since that.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 4:18 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Hays: Polymarket Gives 1% Odds on Tesla Naming New CEO
“Yeah, it's at a one percent chance. As of today, so.”
Jordi Hays May 31, 2025 ▶ 3:00 Weekend Special: Elon Recap, Balaji, Chris Dixon, Brian Armstrong, Crypto Day + Thiel Fellows
Disclosure
Maguire: Sequoia backs SpaceX, Boring Company, X, and xAI, not Tesla
“We're not investors in Tesla, just given the timing and that it was public where, you know, major investors in space X invested in boring company, investors in X, investors in XDI.”
Shaun Maguire Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 7:12 "Don't listen to anyone" - Shaun Maguire talks Elon, Robots, Space, and the Mars Mission.
Assertion Supported
Nikola Sued Tesla for $2 Billion Over Design Features in 2018
“In May of 2018, they sued Tesla for two billion dollars over design features.”
Austin Petersmith Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 6:09 Could NIKOLA Make a Comeback?
Assertion Supported
Tesla Provides Instant Online Quotes for 100MWh Megapack Systems
“You can literally get a quote for a hundred megawatt hour Tesla Megapack system online without speaking to a human.”
Jordi Hays Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 20:17 FACT CHECKERS vs. tech article (ep14)
Assertion Supported
Tesla Megapack orders placed in late 2024 show Q3 2025 delivery timeline
“At this point, if you order today you can get a delivery in Q three, 20, 25.”
Jordi Hays Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 20:36 FACT CHECKERS vs. tech article (ep14)
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Tesla delivered 5,175 Cybertrucks in July, up 61% MoM
“S&P Global Mobility says Tesla delivered 5175 Cybertrucks in July. This is a 61% month-over-month increase. They also estimate the rest of the electric pickup The truck market sold only a combined 5500”
John Coogan Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 1:19:06 The "Switzerland of AI" is Crazy (ep3)
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