why aren't all 102 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Van Lancker: Free Agency Received Hundreds of Applicants from Top Tech Firms
“So we've had hundreds of applicants already. You know, these have been engineers and designers and companies like OpenAI and Databricks, SpaceX, Ramp, you know, like you name it. We have a Gen Z creator who has millions of followers more research focused peopl…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031
Feldmann: Durin aims to build thousands of automated drill rigs by 2031
“We are we're teaching SpaceXers how to drill and drillers how to participate in a high functional, high functioning engineering organization. And so I think you gotta do both. If you're trying to build a large organization and manufacture thousands of these ri…”
Insight
Mendler: Ground infrastructure lets Northwood operate free from launch schedule constraints
“It's very convenient. We can work on our own schedule. I mean, we have different challenges cause you know, you're going to different countries and they have their own local regulatory regimes and all that, but we are not constrained by launch schedules, which…”
Disclosure
Maguire: Sequoia backs SpaceX, Boring Company, X, and xAI, not Tesla
“We're not investors in Tesla, just given the timing and that it was public where, you know, major investors in space X invested in boring company, investors in X, investors in XDI.”
Assertion Supported
Hayes: SpaceX is getting priced at $350B valuation
“Last, it was, I guess, getting priced at three hundred and fifty billion most recently.”
Opinion
Coogan: Gwynne Shotwell Is the Crucial Operational Counterweight to Elon Musk
“She's been super critical, took a whole ton of career risks going in super early, and has just
You know, just driven that company and just executed, executed, executed, and just fantastic public speaker, fantastic counterweight to Elon's, you know, experimenta…”