The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Apple to release Gemini-powered Siri revamp in spring 2026
“The big AI thing for Apple is the revamped Siri coming out in the spring. They're using a Google Gemini model to power it, which I think is going to make it pretty top tier.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 14:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Apple Reportedly Rebuilding Siri as OS-Integrated Chatbot 'Campos'
“Apple plans to revamp Siri later this year by turning the digital assistant into the company's first artificial intelligence chatbot, thrusting the iPhone maker into a generative AI race dominated by OpenAI on Google. The chatbot, codenamed Kempos, will be emb…”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 24:34 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple built an in-house AI search to rival Perplexity
“What they haven't talked about Is AI web search. And so the new Siri is also going to have a chat GPT perplexity competitor for things like deep research and summarizing search. That is going to be an Apple built, an Apple powered system.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 19:09 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Siri has 500 million users versus 1.5 billion total iPhones
“Estimates are around five hundred million active Siri users globally, which is huge, but there's 1.5 billion iPhone users, so Having only a third of your user base use your AI feature seems a little bit low, if that's the case.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 3:05 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple Will Not Remove ChatGPT-Siri Integration
“They're not taking that away. They're not taking it away.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 18:08 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Hays: Apple is hiring for 300 Siri-focused roles
“Apple's currently hiring 300 Siri focus roles.”
Jordi Hays Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 12:06 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
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