The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's o1 Pro beats R1 and Claude in Catan eval
“The top OpenAI thinking models, O-one Pro get it too, but all of DeepSeek R-one, Gemini, two point O-flash thinking and Claude do not.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 33:22 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's $200 o1 Pro uses the same model as $20 o1
“In fact, the O-one model is 20 dollars a month, is basically the same model used in the O-one Pro model for 10 X the price at 200 dollars a month, which raised plenty of eyebrows. The main difference is that O-one Pro thinks for a lot longer before responding”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 16:29 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
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