why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 5 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Kim: Nvidia's US-China regulatory approvals will drive billions in H200 orders
“And one thing that kind of went under the radar, Jensen literally said at GTC they got license approvals on both the U.S. And China side, so we're gonna see billions of dollars of H 200 orders.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Jensen Huang: Nvidia Will Build Orbital Data Centers in Space
“In the future, we'll also build data centers. In the, in space. Obviously, very complicated to do so. We have, we're working with our partners on a new computer called Vera Rubin Space One, and it's going to go out to space and start data centers out, out in s…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Coogan: No new chip architecture will displace Nvidia GPUs or Google TPUs
“It doesn't seem like there's some new disruptive chip architecture that's gonna come out and obviate the need for both NVIDIA GPUs and Google TPUs, and so Google's very well positioned”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Kim: Nvidia and hyperscalers won't switch to Arm's standalone server CPUs
“I don't really expect the major hyperscalers like Amazon to switch to ARM's, you know product offering. They have their own. And same with NVIDIA. They have their own ARM CPU that they're gonna incorporate and sell.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Patel: Nvidia's pre-fill CPX chip will release later in 2026
“They launched this thing called CPX, which is a chip made for pre-fill with, you know, prompt processing, creating a KV cache, and also good at, like, video generation and image generation. And that's coming out later this year.”