why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's $22B Army augmented reality contract vehicle has moved to Anduril
“Who would have bet that eight years later, that Microsoft contract, that twenty-two billion dollar contract vehicle for the architecture of the Army's AR future would move over to Anduril, that we would be launching something like Eagle Eye”
Assertion Supported
Leaked Microsoft memo makes OpenAI GPT the default internal AI model
“A Microsoft exec Just sent an internal memo that's designed to end token maxing and makes OpenAI's GPT, GPT, the default model for internal use.”
Assertion Supported
Thompson: Xbox Game Pass has 30M subscribers and is decreasing
“And they, I think the, you know, the recent reporting was they expected to have seventy-five million Game Pass subscribers by this year. They have like thirty million, and that number is actually decreasing. It's not going up.”
Assertion Supported
Xbox announces 3,200 layoffs through 2027 with 1,600 cuts immediately
“The newly appointed Xbox CEO, Asha Sharma, has announced this morning that Xbox will lay off
3200 staffers by the end of 2027 with 1600 layoffs taking place today.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Non-AI core infrastructure drove Microsoft Azure revenue growth
“More than half of Azure's 33% revenue jump in the company's March quarter came from non-AI services. While the company didn't give a comparable breakdown of the cloud unit's 39% growth in its June quarter, it said that the core infrastructure business, Microso…”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI can now serve its products across any cloud provider
“They changed their partnership. OpenAI can now serve all of its products to customers across any cloud provider.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Microsoft owns 27% of OpenAI's new for-profit entity
“Microsoft owns 27% of OpenAI's new for-profit entity.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: GitHub Copilot reached around $500M in ARR
“Last we heard it was at Around half a billion in ARR.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Microsoft Has the Least Custom AI Silicon Deployed in Cloud
“Microsoft has the least custom AI Silicon deployed to their cloud, but they're working on it.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft offers early retirement packages to 7% of its workforce
“I saw Microsoft was doing something similar. They're offering early retirement to something like seven percent of the workforce trying to lean out a little bit.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Project Helix is Microsoft's next-generation Xbox console
“Project Helix is the next generation of the Xbox console.”
Assertion Supported
Nadella: Microsoft's server business was one-tenth the size of Azure
“I mean, think about our server business. It's super profitable, except it was one-tenth the size when I look at it compared to Azure.”