The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion

Patel: Pre-training returns are plateauing; GPT-4.5 was unimpressive and deprecated

“Pre-training seems to have been giving us these plateauing returns. We make these models bigger. GPT-Fort .5 didn't seem to be all that impressive. They had to deprecate it.”

Dwarkesh Patel Jul 8, 2025 ▶ 5:24 DWARKESH PATEL on the Biggest Problem of AI

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The Ledger

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