The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Apple to release Gemini-powered Siri revamp in spring 2026
“The big AI thing for Apple is the revamped Siri coming out in the spring. They're using a Google Gemini model to power it, which I think is going to make it pretty top tier.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 14:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google Gemini AI market share surged to 21.5%
“Gemini's market share is now at 21.5%. Three months ago, it was at 12.9%. 12 months ago, it was at 5.7%.”
John Coogan Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 22:24 The Jamie Dimon Apple Card, Greenland Ideas, WB-Paramount, TBPN x Vanity Fair | Diet TBPN
Assertion Partly supported
Houston: Copilot lacks Slack context and Gemini lacks Salesforce data
“Copilot doesn't know about your Slack and Gemini doesn't know about your Salesforce.”
Drew Houston Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 15:40 Are AI Agents Further Away Than We Think? | Dropbox CEO Drew Houston Joins TBPN
Assertion Supported
Snap glasses developers can integrate Google's Gemini AI models
“Snap said that developers will be able to incorporate Google's Gemini AI models into programs that they developed for smart glasses.”
John Coogan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 8:40 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
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