why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: OpenAI Atlas will fail because it barely improves upon Google Chrome
“My prediction is that Atlas, in its current form, might be 1.1 times better than Chrome. And that will not be enough to get large scale consumer adoption.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Perplexity will take decades to reach three billion users
“It's like perplexity has probably like millions of users, but it's just gonna take
Decades, even at reasonable growth rate to hit three billion.”
Opinion
Google Chrome could be valued at $200 billion as a standalone asset
“Like, you run a multiple on that, like, it's a two hundred billion dollar asset, like, or something in that range, like, it's a lot. It's not two billion.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Perplexity offered to keep Google as Chrome's default search engine
“Perplexity told Sundar Pichai as part of the proposed acquisition, it would maintain and support Chromium, the open source project that supports Chrome and other browsers. It also said it would continue placing Google as the default search engine within Chrome…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Odds of Perplexity acquiring Chrome are closer to 0% than 1%
“I would put the odds of this deal happening closer to zero percent than one percent.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Bankers have not heard of Perplexity's rumored Chrome bid
“A little birdie just told me that they spoke to a number of bankers that have not heard of the perplexity deal”