The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Coogan: AI agents will entirely replace human GitHub commits by year-end
“I would expect like 70%, and I would expect Codex to be at 30%, and no more human commits because it's working.”
Nadella: 'Vibe coding' is an unfortunate term that leads to slop
“I sometimes think vibe coding is a sort of a slightly unfortunate term because it does lead to a lot of slop. Right? I mean, it's kind of like, I'm sure you code away, and then you lose control of the project, and then you got to put everything back into a mar…”
Coogan: AI video editing lacks GitHub-style public training logs
“One interesting thing is that the, there isn't, there aren't a lot of open source, like, premier profiles. Like, I, I've edited a ton of videos for YouTube. There's a whole bunch of cuts in there. What I cut out, what I didn't. You could have that record, but …”
Nadella: GitHub Agent HQ will orchestrate multiple AI models across branches
“And mission control where you will have Codex, you have Claude, you have Grok, every model you want. Yeah. Each working across their own branches, Then you have the IDE, so you can bring up VS code, where you can do the diff on each of the branches output”
Brown: AI alpha is buried in GitHub issues, X, and group chats, not LinkedIn
“There's a surprising lot of alpha still on X just from places where you don't like, so there's places I have not found much alpha on LinkedIn. The group chats, the anons the open source like GitHub discussions, lots of really good stuff is buried in like a Git…”