why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Shah: Consumers will use AI agents for autonomous purchases within six months
“You just, and no one's really doing this yet, but it's going to happen, I think, you know, in the next six months. Is just tell your agent, you know, tell Gemini, tell ChatGPT, go buy these things, it has your credit card, and now that world that they were des…”
Assertion Supported
Hays: ChatGPT daily active users fell 6% following Google Gemini launch
“In the two weeks since the Gemini launched, ChatGPT unique daily active users, a seven-day average, are down six percent.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple chose Google Gemini for Siri after blind model tests
“Apple ran a blind test of frontier models and picked Gemini.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google Gemini's underlying tech performance matches OpenAI
“If you look at the performance of the underlying technology at Google with Gemini, it's on par, if not like back and forth with open AI.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Gemini app has over 750M monthly active users
“Google said Wednesday that it has more than seven hundred and fifty million monthly active users just on its Gemini app, which only represents a portion of Gemini's actual users because it's vended into all the different products.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis reportedly has no plans for Gemini ads
“Demis Hassabis from Google told Alex Heath at Sources that, that he has no plan, no plans to put ads in Gemini.”
Assertion Supported
Alphabet is vertically integrated from chips and AI to autonomous robotics
“He's got the data center, he's got the chip, right? Tensor, right? He's got, he does a lot of the operating system type work, including the model, you know, the Gemini model, the applications he does as well, and he even gets all the way to the robotic layer, …”
Assertion Supported
Google Reports That Gemini Reached 450 Million Monthly Active Users
“And that reflects the actual number that they shared, four hundred and fifty million monthly active users.”
Assertion Supported
Google added $2 trillion in market cap since the Gemini image controversy
“Google has now added two trillion dollars to its market cap over the past 20 months since the boob shirt guy asked Sergey Brin about woke Gemini images while having a foot-long Subway cold-cut trio for lunch.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Gemini Daily Requests Grew Over 50% Quarter-Over-Quarter
“Daily requests grew over 50% from Q-one to Q-two.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Google Is Phasing Out Google Assistant on Android for Gemini
“Android users have had access to Google Assistant for a long time. That's getting phased out. It's just gonna be Gemini.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google's Gemini is named after the Brain and DeepMind merger
“Google's Gemini is a reference to two formerly distinct labs, Google brain and deep mind that were merged into one lab, Google deep mind.”