The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Will Manidis predicts Sam Bankman-Fried will not serve his full prison sentence
“I will be shocked to see if he serves this whole sentence. He has, like, very strong proof that if you donate enough money to the right people, you can kind of bend the world around you, and I sincerely hope he stays in jail for a very long amount of time.”
Hays: Leveraged blowups happen instantly compared to venture startup wind-downs
“The key takeaway is like when leverage is involved, things just move so, so, so fast... Quite a bit different than traditional venture world, where when a company is dying, it dies over two, three years often, sometimes more.”