The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Coogan: AI agents will entirely replace human GitHub commits by year-end
“I would expect like 70%, and I would expect Codex to be at 30%, and no more human commits because it's working.”
Baker: OpenAI Cut Codex Prices to Bootstrap Recursive Self-Improvement Loops
“I think that's why OpenAI is cutting codex pricing, simply because coding, you know, coding tokens are so valuable, and if you don't have enough of them, you may not be able to get into this RSI loop that, that everyone is, you know,”
Chesky Predicts Most Generative AI Revenue Will Flow to Coding Tools
“I would predict that most revenue is going to go be going to codex. That's my, I might be wrong, but just given how much money is going to Claude.”
Steinberger: OpenAI is superior for coding across large codebases
“Like for coding, I much prefer Codex because it can navigate large code bases. I literally, you can literally prompt and then push domain. And I have a very, I have like, 95% certainty that it actually works.”
Nadella: GitHub Agent HQ will orchestrate multiple AI models across branches
“And mission control where you will have Codex, you have Claude, you have Grok, every model you want. Yeah. Each working across their own branches, Then you have the IDE, so you can bring up VS code, where you can do the diff on each of the branches output”
Coogan: New ChatGPT Desktop App Replaced Native Mac App with Electron
“The new ChatGPT app is just the Codex app, and when you install it, you can keep the
The old ChatGPT app as ChatGPT classic, but a lot of people don't like that because the Codex app is written in Electron, which means it's a bunch of like web views, web brows…”
Hays: Google's Antigravity launch video accidentally revealed internal OpenAI Codex usage
“The Google anti-gravity team flashed a codex folder in their in their actual demo video.”
Coogan: Dark-mode coding products like Codex are hard to market
“Like Codex, like, even if you had, like, a million do-overs, it's a hard product to explain. It's like, it's a desktop app with a lot of text, and it's in dark mode, and it's gonna write code, but only behind the scenes, and you don't really have to know how t…”
Hays: OpenAI is smartly pushing Codex directly to consumers
“They're trying to push codex, they're trying to push codex to consumers. Which I think is smart.”
O'Laughlin: Consumer GUIs Like Cowork and Codex Will Drive Agent Adoption
“That's why Cowork and Codex are gonna, like, probably be what actually happens. I think it's really fun to, like, play around in the, like, whatever, one percent adopter, and I'm really enjoying it, but I just don't think Like, yeah, it's gonna be co-worker Co…”
Altman: 10% interface polish unlocks massive AI model capability overhang
“You know, the, I think it's a great example of 10% of polish of the experience of using these models, especially when there's so much capability overhang goes an extremely long way to what you can build and how, how you interact with this stuff.”
OpenAI introduces Codex Sites for building shareable interactive web apps
“In other open AI news there's now sites in codecs. You can turn work ideas, plans into interactive websites or apps. Your team can explore, use, and share.”
OpenAI Codex prompt allegedly bans mentioning goblins, raccoons, and pigeons.
“Never talk about goblins, gremlins, raccoons, trolls, ogres, pigeons, or other animals or creatures. Unless it is absolutely and unambiguously relevant to the user's query.”