The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hays: Paramount and Ellison offered over $100B for Warner Bros. Discovery
“Like yesterday, we saw that that Ellison and Paramount came in with over a hundred billion. Of course, that included the CNN, the TV assets, but even when you broke it out, it seemed like It was very clear that Ellison was willing to pay more money and make a …”
Coogan: Polymarket optimizes for accurate prices while TV news optimizes for watch time
“If you're CNN, you are incentivized to sell ads and get Watch time and keep people watching. And if you're polymarket, you're incentivized for liquidity and providing correct prices. And so it's just a very different like incentive structure.”