The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Alibaba has repeatedly distilled Anthropic's Claude model
“Anthropix's Alibaba has distilled, clawed many, many times, and I saw a chart of the amount of tokens that are getting resold.”
John Coogan Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 22:24 Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: Anthropic Battles Pentagon Over Surveillance and Lethal AI Uses
“It's also locked in a battle with the Defense Department over how its clawed suite are used after it told the Pentagon it couldn't be used for domestic surveillance or autonomous lethal activities.”
Jordi Hays Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 21:23 Big Tech to Pay for Power, Anthropic Abandons Safety, the Adoption Paradox | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: Hackers Used Claude to Breach 195M Mexican Government Records
“Hackers use Claude to steal a 150 gigabytes of Mexican government data. They told Claude they're doing a bug bounty. Claude initially refused. A hacker just kept asking and manages to successfully steal some documents. Apparently, it's four state governments, …”
Jordi Hays Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 25:24 Big Tech to Pay for Power, Anthropic Abandons Safety, the Adoption Paradox | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: Reports indicate Claude was used in Maduro raid planning
“There was reporting last week that Claude was leveraged in some way during the Maduro planning, the planning of the Maduro raid.”
Jordi Hays Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 25:53 The Cournot Equation, Micron’s $200B Bet, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0 | Diet TBPN
Assertion Partly supported
Anthropic accuses major Chinese AI labs of distilling its Claude model
“Anthropic has accused DeepSeek, Moonshot, Minimax, ZAI, Alibaba, all of distilling Claude”
John Coogan Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 28:53 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
xAI's Grok generated more iPhone App Store revenue last month than Claude.
“Grok did more revenue last month than Claude in the iPhone app store.”
Jordi Hays Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 18:49 Samsung’s $70B Chip Bet, Apple Doing Nothing But Winning AI, Bezos’ New Fund | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's o1 Pro beats R1 and Claude in Catan eval
“The top OpenAI thinking models, O-one Pro get it too, but all of DeepSeek R-one, Gemini, two point O-flash thinking and Claude do not.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 33:22 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Assertion Supported
Cosgrove: Claude app reached number 23 following Super Bowl ad
“Yeah, it's at 23 right now.”
Tyler Cosgrove Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 8:21 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Claude has become the default integration for Cursor
“I think if you're programming, Claude has been, has become like the default integration for Cursor,”
John Coogan Nov 16, 2024 ▶ 1:08:43 What is the TRUMP BUBBLE? (ep11)
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