The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 25 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Shah: Consumers will use AI agents for autonomous purchases within six months
“You just, and no one's really doing this yet, but it's going to happen, I think, you know, in the next six months. Is just tell your agent, you know, tell Gemini, tell ChatGPT, go buy these things, it has your credit card, and now that world that they were des…”
Alap Shah Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 9:39 Why My Article Just Tanked the Market
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI officially rolled out ads in ChatGPT today
“Apparently OpenAI actually rolled out ads in ChatGPT today.”
Jordi Hays Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 26:48 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: ChatGPT daily active users fell 6% following Google Gemini launch
“In the two weeks since the Gemini launched, ChatGPT unique daily active users, a seven-day average, are down six percent.”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 16:35 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI surpasses one billion weekly active users
“We're now well over a billion users every week”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 6:37 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Assertion Supported
Hays: Altman Memo Directed OpenAI to Personalize ChatGPT for 800M Users
“So what Sam said in the internal Slack memo is he was directing more employees to focus on improving features of ChatGPT, such as personalizing the chat bot for more than eight hundred million people.”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 12:06 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple built an in-house AI search to rival Perplexity
“What they haven't talked about Is AI web search. And so the new Siri is also going to have a chat GPT perplexity competitor for things like deep research and summarizing search. That is going to be an Apple built, an Apple powered system.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 19:09 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI generates around $1B per month in revenue
“Like, you know, they're generating, what, a billion dollars a month in revenue at this point. Everyone uses the app. It's installed everywhere. Like, that, that, that token demand is not going anywhere, that infrastructure demand is not going anywhere, so.”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 14:30 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Total Deaths Attributable to ChatGPT Are Still Zero
“Yeah, I believe in this case, total deaths attributable to ChatGPT are still zero.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 4:30 Marc Andreessen on Why Apple Might Miss the Next Platform Shift
Assertion Supported
Rabois: Most OpenAI revenue comes from durable ChatGPT subscriptions
“OpenAI, most of their revenue comes from ChatGPT subscriptions. That's pretty durable. Consumers or people using it, you know, for business applications, but on an individual basis.”
Keith Rabois Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 11:52 "Work at an outstanding organization first" - Keith Rabois Advice on Starting Companies
Assertion Supported
Google built an internal ChatGPT equivalent but chose not to ship it
“They obviously had effectively a version of ChatGPT internally. They didn't ship it.”
Jordi Hays Aug 8, 2026 ▶ 26:58 AI-Designed Viruses, OpenAI’s First Device, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: New ChatGPT Desktop App Replaced Native Mac App with Electron
“The new ChatGPT app is just the Codex app, and when you install it, you can keep the The old ChatGPT app as ChatGPT classic, but a lot of people don't like that because the Codex app is written in Electron, which means it's a bunch of like web views, web brows…”
John Coogan Jul 11, 2026 ▶ 10:59 GPT-5.6 Reactions, Phoebe Gates’ Phia Drama, Hollywood Chases Internet Horror | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
ChatGPT generates 75% of Apple's generative AI App Store revenue.
“Three fourths of the revenue Apple rakes in from Gen AI apps in its App Store come from ChatGPT.”
Jordi Hays Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 18:07 Samsung’s $70B Chip Bet, Apple Doing Nothing But Winning AI, Bezos’ New Fund | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: ServiceNow commits revenue in three-year deal to integrate OpenAI models
“So they signed a three year deal that will integrate the AI models. ChatGPT's models into ServiceNow's business software. The deal depends on customers using OpenAI's models within ServiceNow and also includes a revenue commitment from ServiceNow to OpenAI.”
John Coogan Jan 21, 2026 ▶ 27:14 Davos Reactions, Waymo in the News, WB & Netflix Strike All Cash Deal | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Over 40M people daily ask ChatGPT health questions
“Fiji gave some amazing stats here with more than forty million people globally turning to ChatGPT every day for health questions.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 25:49 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple Will Not Remove ChatGPT-Siri Integration
“They're not taking that away. They're not taking it away.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 18:08 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Coogan: ChatGPT hits 700M weekly active users amid massive compute demands
“Company executives made it clear that the Abilene site was just the beginning, noting they envisioned a need for more than 20 gigawatts of computing capacity to meet the explosive demand for ChatGPT, which now has more than seven hundred million weekly users.”
John Coogan Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 52:11 Weekly Recap: Matthew McConaughey on AI, Nvidia x OpenAI
Assertion Supported
LiveKit's d'Sa: LiveKit built the infrastructure for OpenAI's ChatGPT voice modes
“Fast forward, like, about a year and a half, two years, and, ah, we built a demo when ChatGPT first came out, ah, where you could talk to it instead of text with it using LiveKit's infrastructure, and a few months later, OpenAI ended up finding it, ah, wanted …”
Russell D'Sa Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 21:31 Building the World’s Smallest Fusion Reactor | Robin Langtry on TBPN
Assertion Supported
D'Sa: LiveKit partnered with OpenAI to build ChatGPT voice mode
“We built a demo when ChatGPT first came out, ah, where you could talk to it instead of text with it using LiveKit's infrastructure, and a few months later, OpenAI ended up finding it, ah, wanted to build a voice interface to ChatGPT, And we started to work pre…”
Russell D'Sa Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 1:14 Why Hallucination Is Good For AI Voice Agents | Russell D'Sa on TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI Built Consumer Scale After Wrappers Reached Tens of Millions ARR
“Before chat GPT, there were products like copy.ai that were leveraging the API well, and like had gotten to decent, not scale, but tens of millions of ARR, and then OpenAI was like, oh, actually we're a consumer product company now, and then now they have hund…”
Jordi Hays Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 2:52:29 How BILLIONAIRES dress for XMAS (ep17)
Assertion Supported
Hays: ChatGPT launches personal finance features
“ChatGPT launched personal finance features.”
Jordi Hays May 15, 2026 ▶ 31:53 SpaceX IPO Date, ChatGPT x Personal Finance, Sanders & AOC vs. Data Centers | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: ChatGPT conversations are legally admissible in court without privilege
“Your conversations with ChatGPT are not, are definitely admissible in court. And so it's like a Google search. It's not like talking to your lawyer.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 28:56 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: 85% of ChatGPT's weekly active users are outside the US
“85% of their weekly actives are outside of the U.S.”
Jordi Hays Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 2:07:16 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Assertion Supported
Hays: Grok is the top free app on Japan's App Store
“It is the number one free app on the Japanese app store. It is above ChatGPT and all the different local products that I can't read the names of.”
Jordi Hays Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 24:22 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Assertion Supported
Coogan: 90% of 1,000 ChatGPT jokes were repeats of 25 jokes
“Famously, 90% of the 1000 outputs asking chat GPT for a joke were repetitions of the same 25 jokes.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 35:49 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Prediction Held up
Coogan: AI apps will dynamically route user prompts across models automatically
“Very quickly, they're going to be able to put a router in front of that and dynamically decide, oh, this is a question that needs to go to oh, one. This is a question that needs to go to four. Four O or whatever, and all of that will become extracted.”
John Coogan Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 1:12:51 Fact-Checking The Information (ep10)
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 500 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.