why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bosworth: Direct AI interfaces will replace traditional app stores on future devices
“And in the future, you're not going to have an app store. Like I don't need, I don't want to go figure out what the app for my toaster was called and like make sure I make toast, man. Like I said, talk to the AI and let it handle the backend.”
Opinion
Kalanick: Adams Automates 2-Million-Pound Machines Rather Than Building Apps
“This is why the Adams thing is cool. Because you're not dropping a fucking app in the app store. You're like, automating a two million pound machine going 35 miles an hour carrying gold.”
Opinion
Hays: App store moat is being diminished by AI
“The app store as a moat has, is, is being diminished by AI.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: App Store Saw 85% Jump in New Apps Last Quarter
“The app store saw an 85% increase in new apps this past quarter.”
Assertion Supported
Generative AI apps paid Apple nearly $900 million in 2025 fees.
“Gen AI apps Paid Apple nearly nine hundred million dollar in App Store fees in 2025.”
Assertion Supported
ChatGPT generates 75% of Apple's generative AI App Store revenue.
“Three fourths of the revenue Apple rakes in from Gen AI apps in its App Store come from ChatGPT.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: App Store New App Growth Was Historically Under 10%
“In most recent quarters, new app count has grown less than 10%.”
Assertion Supported
Cosgrove: Claude app reached number 23 following Super Bowl ad
“Yeah, it's at 23 right now.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: X categorizes itself as News to avoid competing with Instagram
“I'm actually surprised it is in productivity because X is famously in news, not in social networking. And so X will typically be at the top of the news subcategory because it would be much harder to compete in the product in the social networking category agai…”