The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 67 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Coogan: Alibaba has repeatedly distilled Anthropic's Claude model
“Anthropix's Alibaba has distilled, clawed many, many times, and I saw a chart of the amount of tokens that are getting resold.”
Hays: Anthropic Officially Designated as a Federal Supply Chain Risk
“This also coincided with Anthropic, I guess, officially being designated as a supply chain risk”
Hays: Anthropic Battles Pentagon Over Surveillance and Lethal AI Uses
“It's also locked in a battle with the Defense Department over how its clawed suite are used after it told the Pentagon it couldn't be used for domestic surveillance or autonomous lethal activities.”
Coogan: Analysts predict OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs within next year
“Some analysis, some analysts who study the AI industry say the two companies which are preparing for public listings in the next year, they just want to eliminate the competition.”
Coogan: Anthropic Halted Mythos After Model Hacked NSA Systems in Red-Teaming
“There was, of course, that news that the NSA commented that Mythos was able to hack into a bunch of their systems. That was during a red teaming exercise. The unprecedented intervention led Anthropik to halt all access to comply with the new rule.”
Coogan: U.S. Export Controls Bar Foreign Nationals From Accessing Anthropic Models
“The US government is restricting both Fable Five and Mythos Five from being used by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the US, including foreign national Anthropic employees, and so that's a huge compliance burden, very sudden, and that led Anthro…”
Coogan: Anthropic Suspended Fable 5 Following Commerce Department Directive
“And on June 12th, just five days after the end of the week, Fable Five gets suspended after the Commerce Department issues an export control directive.”
Coogan: The Information Reported Amazon's Jassy Raised AI Jailbreak Concerns With White House
“Then the information reported that Andy Jassy at Amazon had raised concerns with the senior administration officials about jailbreaking. The risk of jailbreaking fable and getting access to all of Anthropic.”
Ries: Trust-governed PBCs are roughly five times more likely to reach year 50
“They created something called the long-term benefit trust. Which is like a multi-branch government, right? So you have the for-profit PPC, and then you have the board of directors accountable to a second entity, this outside trust, and the data shows that comp…”
Hays: Anthropic objected to AI use in Maduro raid
“Anthropic had taken issue with how their products were used in the Maduro raid.”
Coogan: Supply chain risk labels have only targeted foreign companies
“It's only been used for foreign countries. Kaspersky Labs was a Russian cybersecurity company that was deemed to be a supply chain threat. Huawei is a supply chain risk because of the five G towers that could potentially have back doors.”
Hays: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Are Terminating Anthropic Products
“The US federal housing, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are also terminating the use of anthropic products, which was announced this morning.”
Coogan: Anthropic Clashed over Surveillance and Lethal Weapons Clauses Permitted to OpenAI
“So there were two main sticking points that they went back and forth on. No mass domestic surveillance, and no fully autonomous lethal weapons, and there's been a question as to why OpenAI was allowed to Include that language in their contract and say, like, h…”
Hays: Emil Michael claimed Dario Amodei skipped a critical defense call
“Emil Michael came out Friday night and said, it was five, 13, 13 minutes past the deadline. I'm trying to get in touch with Anthropic. I try to get on the phone with Dario. Dario says he's in a meeting.”
Hays: Hackers Used Claude to Breach 195M Mexican Government Records
“Hackers use Claude to steal a 150 gigabytes of Mexican government data. They told Claude they're doing a bug bounty. Claude initially refused. A hacker just kept asking and manages to successfully steal some documents. Apparently, it's four state governments, …”
Hays: Anthropic Abandons AI Safety Pauses if Rivals Release Comparable Models
“Anthropic previously paused development work on its model. If it could be Classified as dangerous, but it said it would end that practice if a comparable or superior model was released by a competitor, given that they are at the frontier, that kind of opens th…”
Shah: Anthropic will likely IPO in the next 3 to 6 months
“I have a strong suspicion that Anthropic is going to go, you know, in the next three to six months. They just have so much momentum and there's a lot of value being first.”
Anthropic restricts Claude OAuth tokens exclusively to its first-party apps
“In the Cloud Code docs, OAuth, and OAuth authentication, which is used with the Free, Pro, and Max plans, is intended exclusively for Cloud Code and Cloud.ai. Using OAuth tokens obtained through Cloud Free, Pro, or Max accounts in any other product, tool, or s…”
Hays: Reports indicate Claude was used in Maduro raid planning
“There was reporting last week that Claude was leveraged in some way during the Maduro planning, the planning of the Maduro raid.”
Coogan: Anthropic reached $14 billion in revenue after 10x yearly growth
“We've all seen the revenue chart, 10 X growth four years in a row, a hundred million, a billion, now fourteen billion.”
Prince: Anthropic is 30,000x and OpenAI 750x harder than Google for traffic
“As you looked at open AI, it was about 750 times harder than with the kind of Google of old to get traffic with something like anthropic is 30,000 times harder.”
Coogan: Anthropic replaces no-ZDR policy with Enterprise Frontier Safeguards
“The no zero data retention, no ZDR is going to be replaced with something called EFS enterprise frontier safeguards. And that may have attributed, may have contributed to lower Fable adoption among enterprises.”
Google's ownership stake in Anthropic is contractually capped at 15 percent
“Google's ownership in anthropic is capped at 15%. They, I believe, have roughly 14%.”
Google holds no voting rights or board seats in Anthropic
“They don't have any voting rights. They don't even, they're not even a board observer. They don't have a board seat. They basically are just a purely financial background.”
Anthropic accuses major Chinese AI labs of distilling its Claude model
“Anthropic has accused DeepSeek, Moonshot, Minimax, ZAI, Alibaba, all of distilling Claude”
Coogan: Employees from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google Signed AI Pause Letter
“There's this open letter from a bunch of lab employees saying like, hey, maybe we should do a mutual pause. Maybe we should all slow down. And I think even some meta researchers signed that as well, but there's like a wide group from OpenAI, Anthropic, a bunch…”
Hays: Judge grants preliminary approval for Anthropic copyright settlement
“Judge William Alsup of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California issued a preliminary approval of the settlement last year after ruling that Anthropic had illegally downloaded and stored millions of copyrighted books, and the settlement w…”
Anthropic Shuts Down Millions of Distillation Accounts Per Week
“Anthropic is now shutting down distillation accounts on the order of millions accounts of per week.”
Gerstner: Google, Amazon, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all token constrained
“Google was token constrained. They said if we had more tokens, we'd be able to generate more revenue. Same for Amazon, same for Microsoft, same from OpenAI, same from Anthropic.”
Gerstner: Elon Musk's compute service signed Anthropic as its first major customer
“So that's why Elon has launched EWS, right? Elon Web Services you know, with his computer, you know, signed up a big first customer with Anthropic.”
Coogan: Claude Code authored 100% of its own commits over 30 days
“In the last 30 days, a hundred percent of the contributions to Cloud Code were written by Cloud Code”
Hays: Anthropic is running a $1B PE deal with Blackstone and Permira
“Anthropic is running a parallel deal with Blackstone, Hellman, Friedman, and Permira. One billion common equity, no guaranteed return, more of a Palantir style consulting venture.”
Coogan: Anthropic defense dispute centered on surveillance and autonomous weapons
“So there were two main sticking points that they went back and forth on no mass domestic surveillance and no fully autonomous lethal weapons.”
Hays: Emil Michael said Anthropic sought to block public database searches
“And Emil Michael had said that, ah, Anthropic wanted to block searching over public databases as well.”
Coogan: Leading AI labs are capturing half of all venture capital
“Venture as a class in a good year will do like four hundred billion, and across OpenAI at a 100,000,000,030 for Anthropic, 20 for XAI, then you have, you know, a bunch of NeoLabs all picking up a billion each. Like, you very quickly get to a few companies Rais…”
Coogan: Anthropic raised $30 billion at a $380 billion valuation
“Anthropic has raised thirty billion dollars at three hundred and eighty billion post money valuation.”
Hays: Adweek ranks Claude's Super Bowl ad in bottom three percent
“Morgan is sharing audience. Didn't like Anthropics ad placing it in the bottom. Three percent of all Superbowl ads from the last five years.”
O'Laughlin: 30,000 Accenture employees will learn Claude Code
“There's, they're doing 30,000 people at Accenture.
[216] John Coogan: What do you mean?
[216] Doug O'Laughlin: To like,
[217] Doug O'Laughlin: 30, 30,000 people at Accenture are going to learn how to cloud code.”
AI labs offer top researchers packages worth $100M or more
“But with AI companies, including meta platforms, Google, Anthropic, wooing top researchers with pay packages that can be worth a hundred million dollars or more, researchers and engineers have been able to hold out for the most attractive terms, and in many ca…”
Coogan: Anthropic has ordered $21 billion worth of TPUs
“Anthropic has ordered twenty-one billion dollars worth of TPUs to train to train large claws.”
Hays: Anthropic Surged from $1B to $4B Run Rate
“Anthropic this year has gone from the beginning of the year to one to four billion dollars.”
Kukoff: Senate Voted 99-1 to Remove AI Regulation Moratorium
“It's out, now it was done, 99 to one in the Senate, almost unanimous in the Senate, To get this out. This was a big win for Dario of Anthropic, probably the number one beneficiary.”
Swyx: Anthropic is building its own MCP registry
“The main challenge that they're going to all going to face is that Anthropic is coming up with their own registry. So Anthropic wants to own this.”
Hays: Anthropic is in talks to acquire Descartes for $6 billion
“Anthropic is apparently in talks to buy Descartes for six billion dollars.”
Google becomes Anthropic's largest financial backer through compute lease guarantees
“Obviously Google has made it, you know, massive bet on anthropic and is, You know, becoming their largest financial backer, especially through some new reporting on, on some of the lease guarantees that they're doing.”
Coogan: Leopold Aschenbrenner is engaged to Anthropic CEO's chief of staff
“He also engaged he's also engaged to Anthropix CEO Dario Amadei's chief of staff.”