The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Coogan: Situational Awareness held concentrated longs in Nebius, Micron, CoreWeave, shorted Adobe
“The fund had built concentrated positions In AI infrastructure companies, including Nebius, SanDisk, Micron, and CoreWeave, while also betting against software companies such as Adobe.”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 1:30 The Collapse of Situational Awareness, Ferrari Luce Stays on Track for 2026 | Diet TBPN
Prediction Held up
Hays: Figma IPO first-day close will exceed Adobe acquisition price
“Now Figma is going to IPO. And I would be shocked if they end the first trading day below the price that Adobe was going to pay.”
Jordi Hays Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 1:35:28 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Opinion
Hayes: Figma Rolled Out 'Toxic' and Horrific Billing Practices
“The Figma product they just rolled out these like absolutely horrific billing practices. Figma was always a very multiplayer product. You could make something, share it with somebody easily. They could edit it, comment, whatever. And they immediately rolled ou…”
Jordi Hays Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 29:01 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
What-if
Coogan: Figma Integration Would Have Been Jankier Under Adobe
“I think it would have been jankier with Adobe, which is probably the worst thing.”
John Coogan Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 30:24 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
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