Economist Tyler Cowen discusses the feasibility of mass entrepreneurship versus traditional corporate employment.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cowen: Attempts to Outlaw or Sanction Chinese Open-Source AI Will Fail
“Open source and is coming and is here, whether we like it or not. Of course, a lot of it will be from China. We should allow American competitors to proceed on an even footing, but basically the attempt to outlaw it or ban it or use sanctions against it is goi…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Proposed Billionaire Tax Has Harmed California and Will Wreck It
“I hope the billionaire tax fails. It will wreck California. If it passes, it's already harmed California.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Major US Companies Secretly Rely on Chinese Open-Source AI
“There's all these major American companies that don't typically advertise it, but they use a lot of Chinese open source right now.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
AI Will Add Half a Percent to Annual Economic Growth
“You go back to 1995 through 1998, we got half a percentage point of extra growth out of those advances. They, to me, seem less impressive than AI, so I think over time, with some slowness, we'll get that and maybe a bit more, which is great.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI Enthusiasts Will Disrupt Medicine, Law, and Banking Sectors
“And I think AI maniacs will compete in medicine, law, business consulting, banking, wherever it is, we let them compete.”
Assertion Supported
Youth Unemployment Rates Prove AI Is Not Destroying Jobs
“The unemployment rate for 18 to 24 year olds, it's back to where it was before we had good large language models. So AI is not destroying that market.”