Host Tyler Cosgrove discusses the exponential energy demands of artificial intelligence and humanity's long-term progression along the Kardashev scale on TBPN.
Assertion Supported
Cosgrove: OpenAI Internal Model Disproved Erdős Problem 90 Conjecture
“Basically, OpenAI figured out that this is not true, and that there actually are some, there are some n's for which this kind of max number of pairs is greater than the original Erdos conjecture. So, so for infinitely many n, this is not for every single n, ri…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cosgrove: OpenAI Solved Erdős Problem for Hundreds to Thousands in Inference
“This was not, like, millions of dollars of inference time. It was, like, maybe something like hundreds to thousands of dollars of inference compute spend.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cosgrove: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei opposes open-sourcing models
“He doesn't want to do open source.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2056
Cosgrove: AGI will make a lunar mass driver viable within 30 years
“I changed, I'm going 30... Well, it's just like, AGI is like basically here, there's no way it's going to take that long. It's like everything will be so cheap.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2056
Cosgrove predicts an operational lunar mass driver within 30 years
“I changed, I'm going 30.”
Opinion
Cosgrove: Leopold Aschenbrenner falls in the 'strong military' Manhattan Project camp
“So, so if you map this back onto AI I think we can say, you know, Leopold is, is kind of in this Manhattan Project camp. So, so we can say he's probably, you know strong military, right, in, in, in this quadrant.”