“My hot take is, like, I guess, yes, you should still learn to code. Primarily because it's been, it gives you like leverage over technology today. And yeah, like I don't see that leverage over technology going away anytime soon, particularly if you want to work on like the frontier of this stuff.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
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More from Mike Knoop
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Knoop: Scaling Test-Time Compute Will Not Get Us to AGI
“And then there's a new story that's emerged over the last like five months, which is, oh, we're going to scale up this test time compute and that's going to get us to AGI. And I think what V two shows is that that's not quite either. We still need some structu…”
Mike KnoopApr 6, 2025▶ 6:40Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
Opinion
Knoop: Language models operate by memorization rather than solving novel patterns
“Language models. Generally working like a memorization style regime where they're right. Learning lots of data. They're able to apply it to very similar types of patterns that they've seen before, but not novel patterns. That's what RKGI shows.”
Mike KnoopApr 6, 2025▶ 17:32Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
AssertionSupported
Knoop: ARC Saw No Progress Despite 50,000x Model Scaling
“Surprise that it basically hadn't, and not only hadn't been beaten, there'd basically been no progress in it which I thought was really fascinating given the fact that we've like scaled up these language model systems by almost like 50,000 times over the last,…”
Mike KnoopApr 6, 2025▶ 1:31Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
AssertionSupported
Knoop: Pure LLMs Score 0% and o1 Scores 1% on ARC-AGI-2
“Pure LLM systems are scoring like zero percent now again on on arc B two single COT systems like R one and O one score like one percent.”
Mike KnoopApr 6, 2025▶ 6:01Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Knoop: AI agents will start working in 2025 due to ARC progress
“I actually think we're going to start to see agents start to work this year specifically because of progress on arc.”
Mike KnoopApr 6, 2025▶ 14:16Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
Insight
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“I think anyone who's like Just doing model training at this point is like lighting money on fire. If you really want to make a unique difference, especially if you're a small startup, like a founder, like you gotta go take an orthogonal approach. You gotta try…”
Mike KnoopApr 6, 2025▶ 25:37Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
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