Dec 6, 2024 · 2h 45m · tbpn

Inside Facebooks Secret "Red Book" (ep18)

John Coogan · 1h 15m spoken Jordi Hays · 1h 13m spoken
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In Episode 18 of Technology Brothers, co-hosts John Coogan and Jordy Hays analyze Facebook's leaked internal Red Book, evaluate major Silicon Valley executive signings, and break down social media timeline debates spanning artificial intelligence, luxury aesthetics, defense tech, and founder work ethic.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. The hosts hold 51.1% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 5.2 Guest teaching 2.9 Guest disagreement 1.8 The hosts pushing back 1.6
05100:0020:0040:001:00:001:20:001:40:002:00:002:20:002:40:002:02–17:13 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Inside Facebook's Secret Red Book John and Jordy conduct a collaborative deep-dive into the leaked Facebook Red Book. John demonstrates sharp knowledge of Facebook's early architectural shift to the timeline feed, while Jordy provides commentary on talent positioning.17:14–22:12 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Personnel News: Big Signings at YC, Ramp, and a16z The hosts adopt a playful sports broadcast style to cover tech personnel moves at YC, Ramp, and a16z. Both lean into comedic hyperbole with full agreement and shared domain context.22:13–31:02 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Technology Brothers Q&A: Family Supercars and Luxury Watches Co-hosts field audience DMs regarding high-end vehicle purchases and watch collecting. John and Jordy trade recommendations across luxury specs with peer-level familiarity and light banter.31:03–40:06 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Timeline Review: Community Memes, Note-Taking, and Space Ambitions A fast-paced review of community tweets covering VC communication tactics, Apple Notes, and space ambitions. Tone is completely cordial and highly collaborative.40:07–59:03 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Timeline Review: Hard Tech Innovation, Pop Culture, and Regulations The discussion covers El Segundo hard tech, Demolition Man's tech predictions, and Australia's under-16 social media ban. John contextualizes historic industrial titans while Jordy highlights regulatory workarounds.59:04–1:24:57 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Impersonator PSA, Brand Debates, and Venture Realities John and Jordy dissect fake accounts, Claude versus ChatGPT branding, and paranoia regarding foreign intelligence at tech parties. John pushes back against sensationalist conspiracy theories.1:24:57–1:40:19 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Transition Work Ethic, Local AI Hardware, and Black Friday Commerce Discussion centers on work ethic expectations, desk AI hardware, and Black Friday infrastructure. Jordy details the intense pressure e-commerce teams face during holiday rollouts.1:40:21–1:56:22 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Founder Lore, Housing Standards, and ChatGPT's Second Anniversary Covering early Michael Saylor lore, Airbnb operational quality, and the second anniversary of ChatGPT's debut. John details the early investor demos and model rollout strategy of OpenAI.1:56:23–2:17:19 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Promoted Post: McKinsey & Company on Risk Leadership The hosts review VC fund management dynamics, AI in corporate finance, and ocean hardware ventures. Both contribute practical operational and angel investing insights.2:17:20–2:19:30 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Promoted Post & Discussion: Sotheby's Stradivarius Violin Auction A brief sponsored segment and conversational riff on Sotheby's Stradivarius violin auction. The discussion is casual and enthusiastic.2:19:33–2:34:27 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Timeline Review: Veblen Goods, Brand Expression, and Fashion in Tech Co-hosts explore luxury Veblen goods, .com value, method founder branding, and tech fashion. John and Jordy debate brand embodiment through automotive choices.2:34:27–2:44:07 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Timeline Review: Manufacturing Realities, Craftsmanship, and Defense Scaling The conversation tackles domestic manufacturing challenges, Gary Tan's focus on consumer-quality craftsmanship, and defense tech scaling limits. Jordy and John weigh in on high-volume production realities.2:02–17:13 · Guest teaching 3/10 Inside Facebook's Secret Red Book John and Jordy conduct a collaborative deep-dive into the leaked Facebook Red Book. John demonstrates sharp knowledge of Facebook's early architectural shift to the timeline feed, while Jordy provides commentary on talent positioning.17:14–22:12 · Guest teaching 2/10 Personnel News: Big Signings at YC, Ramp, and a16z The hosts adopt a playful sports broadcast style to cover tech personnel moves at YC, Ramp, and a16z. Both lean into comedic hyperbole with full agreement and shared domain context.22:13–31:02 · Guest teaching 3/10 Technology Brothers Q&A: Family Supercars and Luxury Watches Co-hosts field audience DMs regarding high-end vehicle purchases and watch collecting. John and Jordy trade recommendations across luxury specs with peer-level familiarity and light banter.31:03–40:06 · Guest teaching 2/10 Timeline Review: Community Memes, Note-Taking, and Space Ambitions A fast-paced review of community tweets covering VC communication tactics, Apple Notes, and space ambitions. Tone is completely cordial and highly collaborative.40:07–59:03 · Guest teaching 2/10 Timeline Review: Hard Tech Innovation, Pop Culture, and Regulations The discussion covers El Segundo hard tech, Demolition Man's tech predictions, and Australia's under-16 social media ban. John contextualizes historic industrial titans while Jordy highlights regulatory workarounds.59:04–1:24:57 · Guest teaching 3/10 Impersonator PSA, Brand Debates, and Venture Realities John and Jordy dissect fake accounts, Claude versus ChatGPT branding, and paranoia regarding foreign intelligence at tech parties. John pushes back against sensationalist conspiracy theories.1:24:57–1:40:19 · Guest teaching 5/10 Transition Work Ethic, Local AI Hardware, and Black Friday Commerce Discussion centers on work ethic expectations, desk AI hardware, and Black Friday infrastructure. Jordy details the intense pressure e-commerce teams face during holiday rollouts.1:40:21–1:56:22 · Guest teaching 3/10 Founder Lore, Housing Standards, and ChatGPT's Second Anniversary Covering early Michael Saylor lore, Airbnb operational quality, and the second anniversary of ChatGPT's debut. John details the early investor demos and model rollout strategy of OpenAI.1:56:23–2:17:19 · Guest teaching 4/10 Promoted Post: McKinsey & Company on Risk Leadership The hosts review VC fund management dynamics, AI in corporate finance, and ocean hardware ventures. Both contribute practical operational and angel investing insights.2:17:20–2:19:30 · Guest teaching 1/10 Promoted Post & Discussion: Sotheby's Stradivarius Violin Auction A brief sponsored segment and conversational riff on Sotheby's Stradivarius violin auction. The discussion is casual and enthusiastic.2:19:33–2:34:27 · Guest teaching 3/10 Timeline Review: Veblen Goods, Brand Expression, and Fashion in Tech Co-hosts explore luxury Veblen goods, .com value, method founder branding, and tech fashion. John and Jordy debate brand embodiment through automotive choices.2:34:27–2:44:07 · Guest teaching 4/10 Timeline Review: Manufacturing Realities, Craftsmanship, and Defense Scaling The conversation tackles domestic manufacturing challenges, Gary Tan's focus on consumer-quality craftsmanship, and defense tech scaling limits. Jordy and John weigh in on high-volume production realities.2:02–17:13 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Inside Facebook's Secret Red Book John and Jordy conduct a collaborative deep-dive into the leaked Facebook Red Book. John demonstrates sharp knowledge of Facebook's early architectural shift to the timeline feed, while Jordy provides commentary on talent positioning.17:14–22:12 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Personnel News: Big Signings at YC, Ramp, and a16z The hosts adopt a playful sports broadcast style to cover tech personnel moves at YC, Ramp, and a16z. Both lean into comedic hyperbole with full agreement and shared domain context.22:13–31:02 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Technology Brothers Q&A: Family Supercars and Luxury Watches Co-hosts field audience DMs regarding high-end vehicle purchases and watch collecting. John and Jordy trade recommendations across luxury specs with peer-level familiarity and light banter.31:03–40:06 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Timeline Review: Community Memes, Note-Taking, and Space Ambitions A fast-paced review of community tweets covering VC communication tactics, Apple Notes, and space ambitions. Tone is completely cordial and highly collaborative.40:07–59:03 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Timeline Review: Hard Tech Innovation, Pop Culture, and Regulations The discussion covers El Segundo hard tech, Demolition Man's tech predictions, and Australia's under-16 social media ban. John contextualizes historic industrial titans while Jordy highlights regulatory workarounds.59:04–1:24:57 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Impersonator PSA, Brand Debates, and Venture Realities John and Jordy dissect fake accounts, Claude versus ChatGPT branding, and paranoia regarding foreign intelligence at tech parties. John pushes back against sensationalist conspiracy theories.1:24:57–1:40:19 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Transition Work Ethic, Local AI Hardware, and Black Friday Commerce Discussion centers on work ethic expectations, desk AI hardware, and Black Friday infrastructure. Jordy details the intense pressure e-commerce teams face during holiday rollouts.1:40:21–1:56:22 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Founder Lore, Housing Standards, and ChatGPT's Second Anniversary Covering early Michael Saylor lore, Airbnb operational quality, and the second anniversary of ChatGPT's debut. John details the early investor demos and model rollout strategy of OpenAI.1:56:23–2:17:19 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Promoted Post: McKinsey & Company on Risk Leadership The hosts review VC fund management dynamics, AI in corporate finance, and ocean hardware ventures. Both contribute practical operational and angel investing insights.2:17:20–2:19:30 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Promoted Post & Discussion: Sotheby's Stradivarius Violin Auction A brief sponsored segment and conversational riff on Sotheby's Stradivarius violin auction. The discussion is casual and enthusiastic.2:19:33–2:34:27 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Timeline Review: Veblen Goods, Brand Expression, and Fashion in Tech Co-hosts explore luxury Veblen goods, .com value, method founder branding, and tech fashion. John and Jordy debate brand embodiment through automotive choices.2:34:27–2:44:07 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Timeline Review: Manufacturing Realities, Craftsmanship, and Defense Scaling The conversation tackles domestic manufacturing challenges, Gary Tan's focus on consumer-quality craftsmanship, and defense tech scaling limits. Jordy and John weigh in on high-volume production realities.2:02–17:13 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Inside Facebook's Secret Red Book John and Jordy conduct a collaborative deep-dive into the leaked Facebook Red Book. John demonstrates sharp knowledge of Facebook's early architectural shift to the timeline feed, while Jordy provides commentary on talent positioning.17:14–22:12 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Personnel News: Big Signings at YC, Ramp, and a16z The hosts adopt a playful sports broadcast style to cover tech personnel moves at YC, Ramp, and a16z. Both lean into comedic hyperbole with full agreement and shared domain context.22:13–31:02 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Technology Brothers Q&A: Family Supercars and Luxury Watches Co-hosts field audience DMs regarding high-end vehicle purchases and watch collecting. John and Jordy trade recommendations across luxury specs with peer-level familiarity and light banter.31:03–40:06 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Timeline Review: Community Memes, Note-Taking, and Space Ambitions A fast-paced review of community tweets covering VC communication tactics, Apple Notes, and space ambitions. Tone is completely cordial and highly collaborative.40:07–59:03 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Timeline Review: Hard Tech Innovation, Pop Culture, and Regulations The discussion covers El Segundo hard tech, Demolition Man's tech predictions, and Australia's under-16 social media ban. John contextualizes historic industrial titans while Jordy highlights regulatory workarounds.59:04–1:24:57 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Impersonator PSA, Brand Debates, and Venture Realities John and Jordy dissect fake accounts, Claude versus ChatGPT branding, and paranoia regarding foreign intelligence at tech parties. John pushes back against sensationalist conspiracy theories.1:24:57–1:40:19 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Transition Work Ethic, Local AI Hardware, and Black Friday Commerce Discussion centers on work ethic expectations, desk AI hardware, and Black Friday infrastructure. Jordy details the intense pressure e-commerce teams face during holiday rollouts.1:40:21–1:56:22 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Founder Lore, Housing Standards, and ChatGPT's Second Anniversary Covering early Michael Saylor lore, Airbnb operational quality, and the second anniversary of ChatGPT's debut. John details the early investor demos and model rollout strategy of OpenAI.1:56:23–2:17:19 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Promoted Post: McKinsey & Company on Risk Leadership The hosts review VC fund management dynamics, AI in corporate finance, and ocean hardware ventures. Both contribute practical operational and angel investing insights.2:17:20–2:19:30 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Promoted Post & Discussion: Sotheby's Stradivarius Violin Auction A brief sponsored segment and conversational riff on Sotheby's Stradivarius violin auction. The discussion is casual and enthusiastic.2:19:33–2:34:27 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Timeline Review: Veblen Goods, Brand Expression, and Fashion in Tech Co-hosts explore luxury Veblen goods, .com value, method founder branding, and tech fashion. John and Jordy debate brand embodiment through automotive choices.2:34:27–2:44:07 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Timeline Review: Manufacturing Realities, Craftsmanship, and Defense Scaling The conversation tackles domestic manufacturing challenges, Gary Tan's focus on consumer-quality craftsmanship, and defense tech scaling limits. Jordy and John weigh in on high-volume production realities.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the hosts 23.8% · guest 76.2%0:00 · the hosts 23.8% · guest 76.2%3:00 · the hosts 59.2% · guest 40.8%3:00 · the hosts 59.2% · guest 40.8%6:00 · the hosts 48.3% · guest 51.7%6:00 · the hosts 48.3% · guest 51.7%9:00 · the hosts 55% · guest 45%9:00 · the hosts 55% · guest 45%12:00 · the hosts 44.5% · guest 55.5%12:00 · the hosts 44.5% · guest 55.5%15:00 · the hosts 47.1% · guest 52.9%15:00 · the hosts 47.1% · guest 52.9%18:00 · the hosts 57.3% · guest 42.7%18:00 · the hosts 57.3% · guest 42.7%21:00 · the hosts 60% · guest 40%21:00 · the hosts 60% · guest 40%24:00 · the hosts 35.1% · guest 64.9%24:00 · the hosts 35.1% · guest 64.9%27:00 · the hosts 30.4% · guest 69.6%27:00 · the hosts 30.4% · guest 69.6%30:00 · the hosts 53.4% · guest 46.6%30:00 · the hosts 53.4% · guest 46.6%33:00 · the hosts 61.1% · guest 38.9%33:00 · the hosts 61.1% · guest 38.9%36:00 · the hosts 61.8% · guest 38.2%36:00 · the hosts 61.8% · guest 38.2%39:00 · the hosts 67.2% · guest 32.8%39:00 · the hosts 67.2% · guest 32.8%42:00 · the hosts 62.5% · guest 37.5%42:00 · the hosts 62.5% · guest 37.5%45:00 · the hosts 66.1% · guest 33.9%45:00 · the hosts 66.1% · guest 33.9%48:00 · the hosts 83.8% · guest 16.2%48:00 · the hosts 83.8% · guest 16.2%51:00 · the hosts 70.3% · guest 29.7%51:00 · the hosts 70.3% · guest 29.7%54:00 · the hosts 29.7% · guest 70.3%54:00 · the hosts 29.7% · guest 70.3%57:00 · the hosts 50.2% · guest 49.8%57:00 · the hosts 50.2% · guest 49.8%1:00:00 · the hosts 65.6% · guest 34.4%1:00:00 · the hosts 65.6% · guest 34.4%1:03:00 · the hosts 49.1% · guest 50.9%1:03:00 · the hosts 49.1% · guest 50.9%1:06:00 · the hosts 42.1% · guest 57.9%1:06:00 · the hosts 42.1% · guest 57.9%1:09:00 · the hosts 60.3% · guest 39.7%1:09:00 · the hosts 60.3% · guest 39.7%1:12:00 · the hosts 45.3% · guest 54.7%1:12:00 · the hosts 45.3% · guest 54.7%1:15:00 · the hosts 44.6% · guest 55.4%1:15:00 · the hosts 44.6% · guest 55.4%1:18:00 · the hosts 45% · guest 55%1:18:00 · the hosts 45% · guest 55%1:21:00 · the hosts 49.8% · guest 50.2%1:21:00 · the hosts 49.8% · guest 50.2%1:24:00 · the hosts 54.5% · guest 45.5%1:24:00 · the hosts 54.5% · guest 45.5%1:27:00 · the hosts 46.1% · guest 53.9%1:27:00 · the hosts 46.1% · guest 53.9%1:30:00 · the hosts 34.5% · guest 65.5%1:30:00 · the hosts 34.5% · guest 65.5%1:33:00 · the hosts 51.9% · guest 48.1%1:33:00 · the hosts 51.9% · guest 48.1%1:36:00 · the hosts 38.9% · guest 61.1%1:36:00 · the hosts 38.9% · guest 61.1%1:39:00 · the hosts 44.6% · guest 55.4%1:39:00 · the hosts 44.6% · guest 55.4%1:42:00 · the hosts 56.3% · guest 43.7%1:42:00 · the hosts 56.3% · guest 43.7%1:45:00 · the hosts 50.2% · guest 49.8%1:45:00 · the hosts 50.2% · guest 49.8%1:48:00 · the hosts 58.5% · guest 41.5%1:48:00 · the hosts 58.5% · guest 41.5%1:51:00 · the hosts 36.9% · guest 63.1%1:51:00 · the hosts 36.9% · guest 63.1%1:54:00 · the hosts 51.1% · guest 48.9%1:54:00 · the hosts 51.1% · guest 48.9%1:57:00 · the hosts 33.1% · guest 66.9%1:57:00 · the hosts 33.1% · guest 66.9%2:00:00 · the hosts 51.6% · guest 48.4%2:00:00 · the hosts 51.6% · guest 48.4%2:03:00 · the hosts 43.7% · guest 56.3%2:03:00 · the hosts 43.7% · guest 56.3%2:06:00 · the hosts 72.7% · guest 27.3%2:06:00 · the hosts 72.7% · guest 27.3%2:09:00 · the hosts 65.6% · guest 34.4%2:09:00 · the hosts 65.6% · guest 34.4%2:12:00 · the hosts 39.3% · guest 60.7%2:12:00 · the hosts 39.3% · guest 60.7%2:15:00 · the hosts 27% · guest 73%2:15:00 · the hosts 27% · guest 73%2:18:00 · the hosts 57.9% · guest 42.1%2:18:00 · the hosts 57.9% · guest 42.1%2:21:00 · the hosts 53.9% · guest 46.1%2:21:00 · the hosts 53.9% · guest 46.1%2:24:00 · the hosts 84.3% · guest 15.7%2:24:00 · the hosts 84.3% · guest 15.7%2:27:00 · the hosts 33.2% · guest 66.8%2:27:00 · the hosts 33.2% · guest 66.8%2:30:00 · the hosts 54.3% · guest 45.7%2:30:00 · the hosts 54.3% · guest 45.7%2:33:00 · the hosts 43.7% · guest 56.3%2:33:00 · the hosts 43.7% · guest 56.3%2:36:00 · the hosts 65.3% · guest 34.7%2:36:00 · the hosts 65.3% · guest 34.7%2:39:00 · the hosts 68.2% · guest 31.8%2:39:00 · the hosts 68.2% · guest 31.8%2:42:00 · the hosts 29.8% · guest 70.2%2:42:00 · the hosts 29.8% · guest 70.2%2:45:00 · the hosts 23.6% · guest 76.4%2:45:00 · the hosts 23.6% · guest 76.4%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 2:11 Reframing the cultural significance of the Facebook Red Book

Jordy explicitly challenges John's premise that the Red Book is just an organizational artifact, comparing its startup impact to the Western Bible.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 1:02:05 Calling out sabbatical clearance numerology

John firmly refuses the viral online theory regarding security clearance sabbaticals, calling it baseless numerology and poor intelligence analysis.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 1:36:35 Unpacking operational realities of Black Friday e-commerce

Jordy educates on the razor-thin margin for error and immense operational stress experienced by direct-to-consumer e-commerce brands over Thanksgiving weekend.

The host holds their own ▶ 14:57 Detailed explanation of early profile-to-feed architecture

John demonstrates distinct platform knowledge by breaking down how early users navigated disjointed profile walls before algorithmic news feeds emerged.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
Inside Facebook's Secret Red Book 6322 John and Jordy conduct a collaborative deep-dive into the leaked Facebook Red Book. John demonstrates sharp knowledge of Facebook's early architectural shift to the timeline feed, while Jordy provides commentary on talent positioning.
Personnel News: Big Signings at YC, Ramp, and a16z 5211 The hosts adopt a playful sports broadcast style to cover tech personnel moves at YC, Ramp, and a16z. Both lean into comedic hyperbole with full agreement and shared domain context.
Technology Brothers Q&A: Family Supercars and Luxury Watches 6322 Co-hosts field audience DMs regarding high-end vehicle purchases and watch collecting. John and Jordy trade recommendations across luxury specs with peer-level familiarity and light banter.
Timeline Review: Community Memes, Note-Taking, and Space Ambitions 4211 A fast-paced review of community tweets covering VC communication tactics, Apple Notes, and space ambitions. Tone is completely cordial and highly collaborative.
Timeline Review: Hard Tech Innovation, Pop Culture, and Regulations 5222 The discussion covers El Segundo hard tech, Demolition Man's tech predictions, and Australia's under-16 social media ban. John contextualizes historic industrial titans while Jordy highlights regulatory workarounds.
Impersonator PSA, Brand Debates, and Venture Realities 6333 John and Jordy dissect fake accounts, Claude versus ChatGPT branding, and paranoia regarding foreign intelligence at tech parties. John pushes back against sensationalist conspiracy theories.
Transition Work Ethic, Local AI Hardware, and Black Friday Commerce 5521 Discussion centers on work ethic expectations, desk AI hardware, and Black Friday infrastructure. Jordy details the intense pressure e-commerce teams face during holiday rollouts.
Founder Lore, Housing Standards, and ChatGPT's Second Anniversary 6311 Covering early Michael Saylor lore, Airbnb operational quality, and the second anniversary of ChatGPT's debut. John details the early investor demos and model rollout strategy of OpenAI.
Promoted Post: McKinsey & Company on Risk Leadership 5422 The hosts review VC fund management dynamics, AI in corporate finance, and ocean hardware ventures. Both contribute practical operational and angel investing insights.
Promoted Post & Discussion: Sotheby's Stradivarius Violin Auction 3100 A brief sponsored segment and conversational riff on Sotheby's Stradivarius violin auction. The discussion is casual and enthusiastic.
Timeline Review: Veblen Goods, Brand Expression, and Fashion in Tech 5322 Co-hosts explore luxury Veblen goods, .com value, method founder branding, and tech fashion. John and Jordy debate brand embodiment through automotive choices.
Timeline Review: Manufacturing Realities, Craftsmanship, and Defense Scaling 6432 The conversation tackles domestic manufacturing challenges, Gary Tan's focus on consumer-quality craftsmanship, and defense tech scaling limits. Jordy and John weigh in on high-volume production realities.

Statements from this episode (34)

Opinion
Hays: Facebook's Red Book created billions in startup economy value
“The Facebook Redbook has been the same for the startup economy in many ways. So it is not just a little book. There's been billions and potentially trillions of dollars of value created from this source of wise wisdom.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:23
Insight
Hays: Algorithmic feeds mean legacy media cannot coast on followers
“In many ways today with the algorithms, you need to come on the platforms and earn that influence and audience every single day. It's not like a, you know, basically like, oh, we're giving this audience and you can, you know, say whatever you want to it over a…”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 7:31
Opinion
Hays: Facebook's Red Book predicted the future 15 years out
“The true and test of intelligence is like being able to predict the future. And in many ways, like the red book just predicted the future. 15 years out, like almost to a T.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 12:27
Insight
Hays: Only Six-Month and 30-Year Timelines Matter in Tech
“In our industry, there's only sort of two timelines that matters. There's six months and 30 years.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 15:59
Opinion
Coogan: Meta's Early VR Bet Doesn't Matter on a 30-Year Horizon
“Everyone agrees that that's, that that bet is very early. Yeah. But it just doesn't matter if you have a thirty-year timeline.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 16:26
Assertion Supported
Hays: Y Combinator hires Ankit Gupta as Winter 2025 visiting partner
“Y Combinator just made a high-profile off-season pickup, bringing in Ankit Gupta as a visiting partner for their winter, 20, 25 batch.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 17:35
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Six percent of Y Combinator startups become unicorns
“With six percent of YC startups already becoming unicorns, if Gupta can add the value that we think he can, there's no reason he can't add billions to YC's future returns.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 19:03
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Ramp signs Andre Kovalev to contract extension after 4-year cliff
“Ramp has locked down one of its absolute stars, Andre Kovalev, with a big contract extension after he hit his four-year cliff.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 19:26
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Andreessen Horowitz brings on Christian Keil as scout investor
“Andreessen Horowitz, the juggernaut of venture capital, has just made a massive signing. Christian Kyle is joining the team As a scout investor”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 20:34
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Mark Zuckerberg regularly wears an F.P. Journe watch
“And yet the boss is rocking an FP Jorn regularly.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 29:41
Insight
Hays: Yelling is an effective management tool if used strategically once a quarter
“Yelling is a great way to get your point across if used highly strategically. You cannot yell all the time. You cannot yell on every call. You cannot yell once a week. You probably shouldn't yell once a month, but once a quarter, keep that as a tool in your to…”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 33:24
Insight
Coogan: Structured note-taking apps waste more time organizing than thinking
“Once you get more structured, it's like you're spending more time organizing than you are actually thinking.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 34:42
Insight
Hays: Applying Google's multi-year planning leadership style stalls early-stage startups
“I feel like Google has been in this position where they can plan things across decades and multiple years. And if you apply that style of leadership to a startup, like you probably will never Get off the ground.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 41:24
Insight
Hays: Backing founders in the orbit of proven founders is an effective strategy
“This is how a lot of VCs actually invest is they invest in one good founder and they say, who else should I invest in? And then they go try to invest in those people. And it's a pretty good strategy. That's how I've approached angel investing where sometimes I…”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 42:12
Insight
Hays: Banning software products and networks will never work due to workarounds
“You just get a VPN and like, there's always going to be a workaround. So trying to ban software products, even networks is just never going to work.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 55:29
Insight
Hays: Founders should never reference-check VCs before active deal conversations
“Don't try to reference check a VC before you're in an active conversation. It's a bad look.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:09:18
Opinion
Hays: New biography-focused tech podcasts cannot beat Acquired or David Senra
“Right now doing a biographies focused one when there's Senra and acquired. It's just not going to work. You're not going to get better at them.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:10:48
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Tech live streaming remains completely open and uncaptured white space
“There's still not a single tech streamer. No one's figured that out. Massive white space if you can do it.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:11:21
Insight
Hays: Founders requiring NDAs for pitch decks is a major red flag
“The thing about startups is the reason that it's so bearish when a founder says to you, oh, can you sign my NDA before you look at my deck is because as a founder for 99.9% of businesses, you should be able to tell somebody your exact plan step by step, every …”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:15:53
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Palantir flipped Raytheon to become world's biggest defense company
“Palantir's now the biggest defense company in the world. They flipped Raytheon finally. Crazy, a hundred and fifty billion dollar company.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:19:16
Insight
Hays: Rapidly hiring 1,000 people produces a 20% to 40% failure rate
“If a startup had to hire a thousand people in three months, you would make, I would imagine, you know, I don't actually know what, like, great, sort of, like, hiring success rate looks like. I would imagine if nine out of 10 people you hire turn out to be grea…”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:26:44
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Pebble generated 90% of revenue in Q4
“I talked to the guy who ran Pebble, the smartwatch company, and he was like, 90% of our revenue comes in Q four because it's a gifted product.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:38:18
Disclosure
Hays: Jordy refuses to use Airbnb under any circumstances
“I do not use Airbnb under any circumstances anymore.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:44:49
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: Copy.ai grew to $20M ARR in one year before pivoting
“There was that company copy AI that got, went from zero to twenty million annualized revenue in a year, and then had to completely pivot, because people would just use ChatGPT.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:53:09
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: Chris Sacca's breakout debut fund was only $8 million
“Or Chris, Chris Saka, the greatest, like the fund that Arguably set off the solo GP wave was an eight million dollar fund.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:59:14
Opinion
Hays: Corporate AI finance startups from YC compete directly with Ramp
“Every single new company coming out of YC that's doing some AI meets finance for corporations, you are competing directly with a very fast moving gorilla, which is ramp.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:00:46
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Ramp significantly accelerated receipt scanning using Google OCR and GPT-4
“Early on, I remember they were they were one of the huge beneficiaries of GPT-IV for the receipt scanning because they could just do exactly what we did with the red book where they would OCR it with Google, take all the text in the picture, and then throw tha…”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:01:28
Insight
Hays: Post-economic founders should build their life's work at 40 or 50
“There's this common trend in Silicon Valley where somebody hits 35, and they're kind of maybe post-economic, and they just kind of start floundering around, and it's like, no, that's when you should go do your life's work. 40, do it at 45, 50, whatever, it doe…”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:16:23
Insight
Coogan: A strong brand must be easily mapped to a car
“If you are building a company, and someone asks you about your brand, and what car your brand would be if it was a car, and you can't say, you don't have a strong enough brand.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:24:32
Assertion Supported
Coogan: China manufactures 99% of global gallium supply
“China manufactures 99% of it.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:31:37
Opinion
Hays: Tech culture is entering an era of loud opulence
“We're entering the era of loud opulence. It's becoming cool again, to express yourself through clothing”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:32:46
Opinion
Coogan: Robotics scales domestic manufacturing faster than retraining human workers
“Robotics can move much faster if it's ramping exponentially than retraining a whole generation.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:35:04
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Intel has not received any funding from the CHIPS Act yet
“And I believe that Intel still hasn't gotten paid for anything from the Chips Act.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:36:20
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: AI software flood will cause more teams to build quietly and prioritize design
“There's going to be a lot of really, really Poor, like software products that technically do the job, but don't do it very well and are not very user friendly. And I actually think there will be more teams that sort of build quietly, really have a lot of confi…”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:37:48
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