Mar 9, 2025 · 31m · tbpn

Nic Carter talks crypto, meme coins, and the regulatory environment.

Nic Carter · 17m spoken
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Venture capitalist Nic Carter discusses the current realities of VC investing, the demise of speculative crypto cycles in favor of stablecoin utility, and the critical need to overhaul blockchain security and settlement architecture.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 4.5 Guest teaching 5.0 Guest disagreement 3.2 The hosts pushing back 2.0
05100:0010:0020:0030:002:47–8:07 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 The CoreWeave Origin Story and Missed VC Opportunity Nic shares the founding story of CoreWeave and his angel investment. The hosts ask friendly clarifying questions about GPU rendering and scope limitations that prevented his fund from investing.8:07–15:05 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 The Trump Crypto Strategy, Token Launches, and Reserve Debates Nic strongly criticizes the strategic crypto reserve and token launches. When John proposes that Trump's multi-token plan might be a high-anchor negotiating tactic, Nic rejects the premise outright, arguing bad-faith anchoring makes founders look untrustworthy.15:05–17:36 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 The State of the Crypto Market and Death of Speculative Cycles Nic provides a candid, contrarian market overview, explaining that the traditional four-year cycle failed because retail was burned by VC-dumped Layer-1s and memecoins.17:37–22:04 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 The Stablecoin Ecosystem and Banking Integration Nic breaks down the layers of the stablecoin industry and explains why domestic banks suffer from regulatory PTSD, while pushing back against commentators who equate regulatory arbitrage with crime.22:05–25:04 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Crypto's Biggest Grey Swans: Tether and Custody Risks Nic educates the hosts on industry grey swans, demystifying Tether's opaque past as a forced consequence of de-banking and government pursuit rather than pure malice.25:04–28:01 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Crypto Security and Reimagining Financial Rails The host brings up specific high-profile security failures like the Bybit hack and Citibank fat-finger errors, prompting Nic to argue that crypto must adopt traditional finance mechanisms like deferred settlement and messaging layers.2:47–8:07 · Guest teaching 3/10 The CoreWeave Origin Story and Missed VC Opportunity Nic shares the founding story of CoreWeave and his angel investment. The hosts ask friendly clarifying questions about GPU rendering and scope limitations that prevented his fund from investing.8:07–15:05 · Guest teaching 6/10 The Trump Crypto Strategy, Token Launches, and Reserve Debates Nic strongly criticizes the strategic crypto reserve and token launches. When John proposes that Trump's multi-token plan might be a high-anchor negotiating tactic, Nic rejects the premise outright, arguing bad-faith anchoring makes founders look untrustworthy.15:05–17:36 · Guest teaching 5/10 The State of the Crypto Market and Death of Speculative Cycles Nic provides a candid, contrarian market overview, explaining that the traditional four-year cycle failed because retail was burned by VC-dumped Layer-1s and memecoins.17:37–22:04 · Guest teaching 5/10 The Stablecoin Ecosystem and Banking Integration Nic breaks down the layers of the stablecoin industry and explains why domestic banks suffer from regulatory PTSD, while pushing back against commentators who equate regulatory arbitrage with crime.22:05–25:04 · Guest teaching 6/10 Crypto's Biggest Grey Swans: Tether and Custody Risks Nic educates the hosts on industry grey swans, demystifying Tether's opaque past as a forced consequence of de-banking and government pursuit rather than pure malice.25:04–28:01 · Guest teaching 5/10 Crypto Security and Reimagining Financial Rails The host brings up specific high-profile security failures like the Bybit hack and Citibank fat-finger errors, prompting Nic to argue that crypto must adopt traditional finance mechanisms like deferred settlement and messaging layers.2:47–8:07 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The CoreWeave Origin Story and Missed VC Opportunity Nic shares the founding story of CoreWeave and his angel investment. The hosts ask friendly clarifying questions about GPU rendering and scope limitations that prevented his fund from investing.8:07–15:05 · Guest disagreement 6/10 The Trump Crypto Strategy, Token Launches, and Reserve Debates Nic strongly criticizes the strategic crypto reserve and token launches. When John proposes that Trump's multi-token plan might be a high-anchor negotiating tactic, Nic rejects the premise outright, arguing bad-faith anchoring makes founders look untrustworthy.15:05–17:36 · Guest disagreement 4/10 The State of the Crypto Market and Death of Speculative Cycles Nic provides a candid, contrarian market overview, explaining that the traditional four-year cycle failed because retail was burned by VC-dumped Layer-1s and memecoins.17:37–22:04 · Guest disagreement 3/10 The Stablecoin Ecosystem and Banking Integration Nic breaks down the layers of the stablecoin industry and explains why domestic banks suffer from regulatory PTSD, while pushing back against commentators who equate regulatory arbitrage with crime.22:05–25:04 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Crypto's Biggest Grey Swans: Tether and Custody Risks Nic educates the hosts on industry grey swans, demystifying Tether's opaque past as a forced consequence of de-banking and government pursuit rather than pure malice.25:04–28:01 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Crypto Security and Reimagining Financial Rails The host brings up specific high-profile security failures like the Bybit hack and Citibank fat-finger errors, prompting Nic to argue that crypto must adopt traditional finance mechanisms like deferred settlement and messaging layers.2:47–8:07 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 The CoreWeave Origin Story and Missed VC Opportunity Nic shares the founding story of CoreWeave and his angel investment. The hosts ask friendly clarifying questions about GPU rendering and scope limitations that prevented his fund from investing.8:07–15:05 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 The Trump Crypto Strategy, Token Launches, and Reserve Debates Nic strongly criticizes the strategic crypto reserve and token launches. When John proposes that Trump's multi-token plan might be a high-anchor negotiating tactic, Nic rejects the premise outright, arguing bad-faith anchoring makes founders look untrustworthy.15:05–17:36 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 The State of the Crypto Market and Death of Speculative Cycles Nic provides a candid, contrarian market overview, explaining that the traditional four-year cycle failed because retail was burned by VC-dumped Layer-1s and memecoins.17:37–22:04 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 The Stablecoin Ecosystem and Banking Integration Nic breaks down the layers of the stablecoin industry and explains why domestic banks suffer from regulatory PTSD, while pushing back against commentators who equate regulatory arbitrage with crime.22:05–25:04 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Crypto's Biggest Grey Swans: Tether and Custody Risks Nic educates the hosts on industry grey swans, demystifying Tether's opaque past as a forced consequence of de-banking and government pursuit rather than pure malice.25:04–28:01 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Crypto Security and Reimagining Financial Rails The host brings up specific high-profile security failures like the Bybit hack and Citibank fat-finger errors, prompting Nic to argue that crypto must adopt traditional finance mechanisms like deferred settlement and messaging layers.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

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Sharpest disagreement ▶ 13:14 Dismissing Trump's negotiation tactics

Nic flatly rejects the host's suggestion that extreme proposals are clever negotiation anchors, comparing it to an untrustworthy startup founder pitching an absurd valuation.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 12:33 Host tests 4D chess counter-theory

John challenges Nic's skepticism of the crypto reserve by arguing Trump typically opens with wild demands before settling on a practical baseline.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 10:30 Industrial rationale vs crypto reserves

Nic educates the hosts on why national strategic reserves exist for tangible industrial commodities like oil and uranium, highlighting the total lack of industrial need for Bitcoin or altcoins.

The host holds their own ▶ 25:04 Host highlights real-world security vulnerabilities

The host cites the $1.4B Bybit hack and Citibank's erroneous wire transfers to frame a sophisticated inquiry into crypto's lack of transaction recourse.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
The CoreWeave Origin Story and Missed VC Opportunity 4311 Nic shares the founding story of CoreWeave and his angel investment. The hosts ask friendly clarifying questions about GPU rendering and scope limitations that prevented his fund from investing.
The Trump Crypto Strategy, Token Launches, and Reserve Debates 5664 Nic strongly criticizes the strategic crypto reserve and token launches. When John proposes that Trump's multi-token plan might be a high-anchor negotiating tactic, Nic rejects the premise outright, arguing bad-faith anchoring makes founders look untrustworthy.
The State of the Crypto Market and Death of Speculative Cycles 3541 Nic provides a candid, contrarian market overview, explaining that the traditional four-year cycle failed because retail was burned by VC-dumped Layer-1s and memecoins.
The Stablecoin Ecosystem and Banking Integration 4532 Nic breaks down the layers of the stablecoin industry and explains why domestic banks suffer from regulatory PTSD, while pushing back against commentators who equate regulatory arbitrage with crime.
Crypto's Biggest Grey Swans: Tether and Custody Risks 5622 Nic educates the hosts on industry grey swans, demystifying Tether's opaque past as a forced consequence of de-banking and government pursuit rather than pure malice.
Crypto Security and Reimagining Financial Rails 6532 The host brings up specific high-profile security failures like the Bybit hack and Citibank fat-finger errors, prompting Nic to argue that crypto must adopt traditional finance mechanisms like deferred settlement and messaging layers.

Statements from this episode (15)

Disclosure
Carter: CoreWeave was first angel check and made when unaccredited
“So I have like over 50 now, but that was my first, and I was not accredited at the time.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 3:06
What-if
Carter: Passing on CoreWeave cost Castle Island a 50x Fund I return
“I did it personally actually brought it to the fund and we didn't do it because it was seen as outside of scope, which was a catastrophic mistake, obviously worst mistake of my career by far. Like, I just ran the math, I did the numbers on it, and. It was our …”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 5:39
Assertion Contradicted
Carter: CoreWeave built AI-specific synchronous HPC clusters before any hyperscaler
“It really is you know, they built with the idea of HPC big performant synchronous HPC clusters in mind when absolutely no one was doing that. None of the hyperscalers were doing that. And then now, of course, everybody's realized AI specific data centers make …”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 7:40
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Nic Carter: Congress will not pass a Strategic Crypto Reserve
“Congress is not going to pass this.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 10:18
Opinion
Carter: US government has no strategic purpose to hold crypto
“There's no strategic purpose to owning crypto at the government level.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 10:54
Opinion
Carter: Meme coins are dead as a category
“Meme coins are dead as a category.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 16:18
Opinion
Carter: Stablecoins are taking over global finance and trade settlement
“Stablecoins are taking over all of fintech, all of global finance, all of banking, remittances, B to B you know, international trade settlement.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 17:12
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carter: Speculative crypto altcoins might be dead for a generation
“The coins might be dead for a generation here.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 17:31
Disclosure
Carter: Fund wiring two new deals to reach 19 stablecoin portfolio companies
“Yeah, I have wires going out for two new stablecoin related deals this week. So we're at 19 now in our portfolio, I believe.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 18:01
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carter: B2B stablecoin payment service providers will face thin margins
“The BAB stable coin payments, like the PSP stable coin based PSP thing, immensely commoditized. There's a hundred new bridges, right? Everybody wants to be the next bridge. Very, very competitive, very hard. Gonna be thin margin.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 18:42
Opinion
Carter: Foreign banks embrace stablecoins while US banks fear regulatory blowback
“The last bastion, those banks, the domestic banks, foreign banks are actually doing a lot of stablecoin stuff depending like look at SOS Gen or Standard Chartered tons and tons of stablecoin stuff. The domestic banks have PTSD from what happened over the last …”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 20:27
Opinion
Carter: Tether is the top grey swan in crypto
“Tether is the top gray swan in crypto.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 22:16
Opinion
Carter: Crypto Should Shift Away from Real-Time Settlement Toward TradFi Mechanisms
“What I think we should do is take crypto away from being a real-time gross settlement network, or like a bearer asset, a digital bearer asset, and then make it more like the way that traditional finance works.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 26:03
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nic Carter: Crypto games have failed 100% of the time
“In general, crypto rule of thumb. If you ask me, did that crypto game go somewhere? The answer is no. And that's true. A hundred percent of the time it's never not been true. So there's the answer.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 28:55
Opinion
Nic Carter: AI Dungeon was popular as a pre-ChatGPT LLM jailbreak
“I think a dungeon was popular because people, people could just like jailbreak the game and then just use it as a conventional LM pre chat GPT, but now you can just, that's why it was so magical.”
Nic Carter Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 29:43
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