Nov 26, 2025 · 54m · tbpn

Elon Musk & Tesla's Real Problem | Doug DeMuro Live on TBPN

Doug DeMuro · 28m spoken
0:00 / 0:00
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Automotive journalist and Cars & Bids co-founder Doug DeMuro joins the TBPN podcast to discuss Tesla's product strategy, the changing dynamics of the electric vehicle market, the realities of modern car culture, and the business of independent automotive media.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 4.4 Guest teaching 3.3 Guest disagreement 1.4 The hosts pushing back 1.1
05100:0015:0030:0045:000:00–2:31 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Preview: Tesla's Challenges and Product Stagnation The hosts introduce Doug DeMuro and discuss the limits of AI in car shopping based on their recent hands-on search for a GT3 RS. DeMuro agrees that AI is not yet ready to capture specific car quirks.2:31–8:20 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Cars & Bids Platform Evolution and Vintage Cars The hosts and guest discuss platform growth for Cars & Bids, F1's impact on American car culture, and the practical downsides of track days versus road driving.8:21–10:39 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Cannonball Run Tales and Rally Culture DeMuro explains why he avoids rallies like Gumball and shares a personal anecdote about meeting spontaneous Cannonball finishers at the Portofino Hotel.10:39–15:04 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Wagons, Minivans, and Parenting Realities The hosts and DeMuro compare dad car choices like the Mercedes E450 wagon and Metris minivan, before discussing DeMuro's editorial independence on his podcast.15:04–17:28 · The hosts as informed peer 6/10 Evaluating Modern Driver Assistance and Comma.ai The host explains the open-source architecture of Comma.ai aftermarket driver assistance, teaching DeMuro about user modifications to facial tracking algorithms.17:28–22:00 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Tesla Strategy, Apple CarPlay, and the Next Roadster DeMuro breaks down Tesla's aging product lineup and explains why the upcoming Roadster faces steep competition after years of delays.22:00–26:07 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Solving EV Depreciation and the Three-Row SUV Void Both sides analyze EV residual values and express disbelief that legacy automakers prioritized electric pickups over high-demand 3-row electric SUVs.26:09–31:09 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 European Regulatory Pressures and Chinese EV Influx DeMuro explains how stringent European emissions and noise regulations are terminating models like the AMG 43 worldwide while opening doors for cheap Chinese EVs.31:09–36:03 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 Jaguar's Pivot to Luxury EVs and Aston Martin Market Dynamics DeMuro explains how shared dealership arrangements with Land Rover cripple Jaguar's SUV ambitions and outlines severe Aston Martin depreciation curves.36:04–41:30 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Montana Tax Loopholes and the WhistlinDiesel Crackdown DeMuro criticizes the abuse of Montana LLC registration loopholes in the wake of the WhistlinDiesel arrest and highlights Hyundai's off-road concept potential.41:30–43:34 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 The 'Fire Your Dad' Car Trope and Sam Altman's Hypercar The group jokes about the 'Fire Your Dad' automotive archetype with the Rolls-Royce Spectre and speculates on Sam Altman's Gordon Murray hypercar purchase.43:34–47:55 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 The Sultan of Brunei Collection and Looking Ahead to 2026 DeMuro explains the political sensitivities surrounding the Sultan of Brunei's secretive car cache and shares his enthusiasm for reviewing everyday family vehicles.47:56–53:56 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Ferrari Design Evolution, Manuals, and Influencing Car Culture DeMuro reflects on reviving cultural interest in the G-Wagon Cabriolet and explains the mechanical top failure that doomed the Nissan Murano CrossCabriolet.0:00–2:31 · Guest teaching 2/10 Preview: Tesla's Challenges and Product Stagnation The hosts introduce Doug DeMuro and discuss the limits of AI in car shopping based on their recent hands-on search for a GT3 RS. DeMuro agrees that AI is not yet ready to capture specific car quirks.2:31–8:20 · Guest teaching 3/10 Cars & Bids Platform Evolution and Vintage Cars The hosts and guest discuss platform growth for Cars & Bids, F1's impact on American car culture, and the practical downsides of track days versus road driving.8:21–10:39 · Guest teaching 4/10 Cannonball Run Tales and Rally Culture DeMuro explains why he avoids rallies like Gumball and shares a personal anecdote about meeting spontaneous Cannonball finishers at the Portofino Hotel.10:39–15:04 · Guest teaching 3/10 Wagons, Minivans, and Parenting Realities The hosts and DeMuro compare dad car choices like the Mercedes E450 wagon and Metris minivan, before discussing DeMuro's editorial independence on his podcast.15:04–17:28 · Guest teaching 2/10 Evaluating Modern Driver Assistance and Comma.ai The host explains the open-source architecture of Comma.ai aftermarket driver assistance, teaching DeMuro about user modifications to facial tracking algorithms.17:28–22:00 · Guest teaching 4/10 Tesla Strategy, Apple CarPlay, and the Next Roadster DeMuro breaks down Tesla's aging product lineup and explains why the upcoming Roadster faces steep competition after years of delays.22:00–26:07 · Guest teaching 3/10 Solving EV Depreciation and the Three-Row SUV Void Both sides analyze EV residual values and express disbelief that legacy automakers prioritized electric pickups over high-demand 3-row electric SUVs.26:09–31:09 · Guest teaching 5/10 European Regulatory Pressures and Chinese EV Influx DeMuro explains how stringent European emissions and noise regulations are terminating models like the AMG 43 worldwide while opening doors for cheap Chinese EVs.31:09–36:03 · Guest teaching 4/10 Jaguar's Pivot to Luxury EVs and Aston Martin Market Dynamics DeMuro explains how shared dealership arrangements with Land Rover cripple Jaguar's SUV ambitions and outlines severe Aston Martin depreciation curves.36:04–41:30 · Guest teaching 4/10 Montana Tax Loopholes and the WhistlinDiesel Crackdown DeMuro criticizes the abuse of Montana LLC registration loopholes in the wake of the WhistlinDiesel arrest and highlights Hyundai's off-road concept potential.41:30–43:34 · Guest teaching 2/10 The 'Fire Your Dad' Car Trope and Sam Altman's Hypercar The group jokes about the 'Fire Your Dad' automotive archetype with the Rolls-Royce Spectre and speculates on Sam Altman's Gordon Murray hypercar purchase.43:34–47:55 · Guest teaching 4/10 The Sultan of Brunei Collection and Looking Ahead to 2026 DeMuro explains the political sensitivities surrounding the Sultan of Brunei's secretive car cache and shares his enthusiasm for reviewing everyday family vehicles.47:56–53:56 · Guest teaching 3/10 Ferrari Design Evolution, Manuals, and Influencing Car Culture DeMuro reflects on reviving cultural interest in the G-Wagon Cabriolet and explains the mechanical top failure that doomed the Nissan Murano CrossCabriolet.0:00–2:31 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Preview: Tesla's Challenges and Product Stagnation The hosts introduce Doug DeMuro and discuss the limits of AI in car shopping based on their recent hands-on search for a GT3 RS. DeMuro agrees that AI is not yet ready to capture specific car quirks.2:31–8:20 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Cars & Bids Platform Evolution and Vintage Cars The hosts and guest discuss platform growth for Cars & Bids, F1's impact on American car culture, and the practical downsides of track days versus road driving.8:21–10:39 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Cannonball Run Tales and Rally Culture DeMuro explains why he avoids rallies like Gumball and shares a personal anecdote about meeting spontaneous Cannonball finishers at the Portofino Hotel.10:39–15:04 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Wagons, Minivans, and Parenting Realities The hosts and DeMuro compare dad car choices like the Mercedes E450 wagon and Metris minivan, before discussing DeMuro's editorial independence on his podcast.15:04–17:28 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Evaluating Modern Driver Assistance and Comma.ai The host explains the open-source architecture of Comma.ai aftermarket driver assistance, teaching DeMuro about user modifications to facial tracking algorithms.17:28–22:00 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Tesla Strategy, Apple CarPlay, and the Next Roadster DeMuro breaks down Tesla's aging product lineup and explains why the upcoming Roadster faces steep competition after years of delays.22:00–26:07 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Solving EV Depreciation and the Three-Row SUV Void Both sides analyze EV residual values and express disbelief that legacy automakers prioritized electric pickups over high-demand 3-row electric SUVs.26:09–31:09 · Guest disagreement 2/10 European Regulatory Pressures and Chinese EV Influx DeMuro explains how stringent European emissions and noise regulations are terminating models like the AMG 43 worldwide while opening doors for cheap Chinese EVs.31:09–36:03 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Jaguar's Pivot to Luxury EVs and Aston Martin Market Dynamics DeMuro explains how shared dealership arrangements with Land Rover cripple Jaguar's SUV ambitions and outlines severe Aston Martin depreciation curves.36:04–41:30 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Montana Tax Loopholes and the WhistlinDiesel Crackdown DeMuro criticizes the abuse of Montana LLC registration loopholes in the wake of the WhistlinDiesel arrest and highlights Hyundai's off-road concept potential.41:30–43:34 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The 'Fire Your Dad' Car Trope and Sam Altman's Hypercar The group jokes about the 'Fire Your Dad' automotive archetype with the Rolls-Royce Spectre and speculates on Sam Altman's Gordon Murray hypercar purchase.43:34–47:55 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The Sultan of Brunei Collection and Looking Ahead to 2026 DeMuro explains the political sensitivities surrounding the Sultan of Brunei's secretive car cache and shares his enthusiasm for reviewing everyday family vehicles.47:56–53:56 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Ferrari Design Evolution, Manuals, and Influencing Car Culture DeMuro reflects on reviving cultural interest in the G-Wagon Cabriolet and explains the mechanical top failure that doomed the Nissan Murano CrossCabriolet.0:00–2:31 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Preview: Tesla's Challenges and Product Stagnation The hosts introduce Doug DeMuro and discuss the limits of AI in car shopping based on their recent hands-on search for a GT3 RS. DeMuro agrees that AI is not yet ready to capture specific car quirks.2:31–8:20 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Cars & Bids Platform Evolution and Vintage Cars The hosts and guest discuss platform growth for Cars & Bids, F1's impact on American car culture, and the practical downsides of track days versus road driving.8:21–10:39 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Cannonball Run Tales and Rally Culture DeMuro explains why he avoids rallies like Gumball and shares a personal anecdote about meeting spontaneous Cannonball finishers at the Portofino Hotel.10:39–15:04 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Wagons, Minivans, and Parenting Realities The hosts and DeMuro compare dad car choices like the Mercedes E450 wagon and Metris minivan, before discussing DeMuro's editorial independence on his podcast.15:04–17:28 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Evaluating Modern Driver Assistance and Comma.ai The host explains the open-source architecture of Comma.ai aftermarket driver assistance, teaching DeMuro about user modifications to facial tracking algorithms.17:28–22:00 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Tesla Strategy, Apple CarPlay, and the Next Roadster DeMuro breaks down Tesla's aging product lineup and explains why the upcoming Roadster faces steep competition after years of delays.22:00–26:07 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Solving EV Depreciation and the Three-Row SUV Void Both sides analyze EV residual values and express disbelief that legacy automakers prioritized electric pickups over high-demand 3-row electric SUVs.26:09–31:09 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 European Regulatory Pressures and Chinese EV Influx DeMuro explains how stringent European emissions and noise regulations are terminating models like the AMG 43 worldwide while opening doors for cheap Chinese EVs.31:09–36:03 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Jaguar's Pivot to Luxury EVs and Aston Martin Market Dynamics DeMuro explains how shared dealership arrangements with Land Rover cripple Jaguar's SUV ambitions and outlines severe Aston Martin depreciation curves.36:04–41:30 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Montana Tax Loopholes and the WhistlinDiesel Crackdown DeMuro criticizes the abuse of Montana LLC registration loopholes in the wake of the WhistlinDiesel arrest and highlights Hyundai's off-road concept potential.41:30–43:34 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 The 'Fire Your Dad' Car Trope and Sam Altman's Hypercar The group jokes about the 'Fire Your Dad' automotive archetype with the Rolls-Royce Spectre and speculates on Sam Altman's Gordon Murray hypercar purchase.43:34–47:55 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 The Sultan of Brunei Collection and Looking Ahead to 2026 DeMuro explains the political sensitivities surrounding the Sultan of Brunei's secretive car cache and shares his enthusiasm for reviewing everyday family vehicles.47:56–53:56 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Ferrari Design Evolution, Manuals, and Influencing Car Culture DeMuro reflects on reviving cultural interest in the G-Wagon Cabriolet and explains the mechanical top failure that doomed the Nissan Murano CrossCabriolet.

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Sharpest disagreement ▶ 20:12 Skeptical Take on Tesla's Roadster Promises

Doug forcefully dismisses the notion that the Roadster is still ahead of the market, pointing out that numerous competitors already match its advertised performance while hypercars broadly face market failures.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 29:19 Challenging European Industrial Policy

The co-host strongly challenges the rationale of European regulators letting Chinese EV imports undercut domestic national champions like Mercedes while imposing strict limits on European legacy models.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 26:58 Explaining EU Noise Regs Killing AMG Models Globally

Doug educates the hosts on how impending European noise regulations caused Mercedes to discontinue all 43 AMG models globally because the US market alone could not justify standalone production.

The host holds their own ▶ 16:38 Detailed Technical Breakdown of Comma.ai

The host displays deep tech expertise explaining how open-source driver assistance firmware works and how users modify safety parameters.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
Preview: Tesla's Challenges and Product Stagnation 4211 The hosts introduce Doug DeMuro and discuss the limits of AI in car shopping based on their recent hands-on search for a GT3 RS. DeMuro agrees that AI is not yet ready to capture specific car quirks.
Cars & Bids Platform Evolution and Vintage Cars 5311 The hosts and guest discuss platform growth for Cars & Bids, F1's impact on American car culture, and the practical downsides of track days versus road driving.
Cannonball Run Tales and Rally Culture 3421 DeMuro explains why he avoids rallies like Gumball and shares a personal anecdote about meeting spontaneous Cannonball finishers at the Portofino Hotel.
Wagons, Minivans, and Parenting Realities 4311 The hosts and DeMuro compare dad car choices like the Mercedes E450 wagon and Metris minivan, before discussing DeMuro's editorial independence on his podcast.
Evaluating Modern Driver Assistance and Comma.ai 6212 The host explains the open-source architecture of Comma.ai aftermarket driver assistance, teaching DeMuro about user modifications to facial tracking algorithms.
Tesla Strategy, Apple CarPlay, and the Next Roadster 5422 DeMuro breaks down Tesla's aging product lineup and explains why the upcoming Roadster faces steep competition after years of delays.
Solving EV Depreciation and the Three-Row SUV Void 5311 Both sides analyze EV residual values and express disbelief that legacy automakers prioritized electric pickups over high-demand 3-row electric SUVs.
European Regulatory Pressures and Chinese EV Influx 4521 DeMuro explains how stringent European emissions and noise regulations are terminating models like the AMG 43 worldwide while opening doors for cheap Chinese EVs.
Jaguar's Pivot to Luxury EVs and Aston Martin Market Dynamics 5421 DeMuro explains how shared dealership arrangements with Land Rover cripple Jaguar's SUV ambitions and outlines severe Aston Martin depreciation curves.
Montana Tax Loopholes and the WhistlinDiesel Crackdown 4421 DeMuro criticizes the abuse of Montana LLC registration loopholes in the wake of the WhistlinDiesel arrest and highlights Hyundai's off-road concept potential.
The 'Fire Your Dad' Car Trope and Sam Altman's Hypercar 4211 The group jokes about the 'Fire Your Dad' automotive archetype with the Rolls-Royce Spectre and speculates on Sam Altman's Gordon Murray hypercar purchase.
The Sultan of Brunei Collection and Looking Ahead to 2026 4411 DeMuro explains the political sensitivities surrounding the Sultan of Brunei's secretive car cache and shares his enthusiasm for reviewing everyday family vehicles.
Ferrari Design Evolution, Manuals, and Influencing Car Culture 4311 DeMuro reflects on reviving cultural interest in the G-Wagon Cabriolet and explains the mechanical top failure that doomed the Nissan Murano CrossCabriolet.

Statements from this episode (17)

Opinion
Doug DeMuro: AI Lacks Knowledge Needed for Automotive Content Creation
“From a content perspective, not really. I just don't find, I don't find for myself at least, it's quite ready yet to do kind of the stuff that I needed to do. Like finding the little quirks of the cars, it just doesn't have the knowledge quite yet there.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 1:38
Opinion
DeMuro: Gumball Rally Is Rich Guys Getting Drunk and Visiting Strip Clubs
“Not my people. It's a, that's a bunch of like, you know, rich guys who want to put big decals on the cars and get drunk and go to strip clubs between the race.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 10:01
Insight
DeMuro: Car reviews remain evergreen for five years despite missing launch access
“Even if I'm not up on release day with the car, because the automaker didn't invite me to the press launch, doesn't really matter. I can go get it from a dealer when it comes to dealers, 60 days later, and the video is going to be evergreen for five years, the…”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 14:28
Assertion Supported
DeMuro: Built-in driver assistance is now as ubiquitous and unremarkable as cruise control
“I review the ones that come in the cars, but however, even then, it has become so ubiquitous now that it's almost like reviewing regular cruise Control. It's almost not even worth talking about it because they've all gotten to be, I mean, a RAV four has it sta…”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 16:01
Opinion
DeMuro: Legacy automakers have basically caught up to Tesla on self-driving
“I don't find Tesla self-driving to be like considerably better. Now that I've been on It's other cars. Every, basically everybody has caught up.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 18:48
Assertion Not checkable as stated
DeMuro: All other electric hypercars have been horrible sales failures
“All the other electric hypercars have been horrible sales failures.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 20:39
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
DeMuro: Tesla Roadster will not launch anywhere near $200,000
“I don't think the Roadster is going to come anywhere near 200, just based on, we've got a lot of inflation, Elon's missed those, Tesla's missed those price targets before, et cetera.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 21:41
Assertion Supported
DeMuro: EVs Depreciate Unbelievably Fast Compared to Gas Cars
“However, still, they are depreciating faster than gas cars, and just unbelievably fast in general, except for Rivian, which has held its value relatively well, but still nowhere near something like a G-Wagon.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 23:09
Assertion Supported
DeMuro: Rivian R1S Remains Above $60K on Cars & Bids
“And the R one S is are the real success story in terms of holding their value. We sell them on cars and bids. They are still not coming under 60 grand, which is a Considering that's a three, four year old car, that's pretty good with the starting sticker of ar…”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 24:23
Assertion Partly supported
DeMuro: Mercedes Is Canceling AMG 43 Models Over EU Noise Regulations
“Mercedes is canceling all of their 43 AMG cars, which are actually quite popular here in the States. They're very popular. The GLC. Those are all going away. And the reason is that they do not comply with EU noise regulations as of next summer.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 26:51
Assertion Not checkable as stated
DeMuro: Jaguar cannot build real SUVs due to shared Land Rover dealerships
“The big problem that Jaguar faces is that almost all of their dealers are paired with Land Rover. And so at the end of the day, they cannot go after the SUV segment to the level that I think a rational company would wish to”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 32:32
Prediction Not checkable as stated
DeMuro: Aston Martin hypercars will succeed, but volume cars will struggle
“I think that Valhalla and Valkyrie will and have been, will be, and have been successful. I think the biggest problem is the volume cars.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 34:21
Assertion Supported
DeMuro: Used Aston Martin DBXs trade at $75k–$80k vs $175k for Urus
“Used DBXs are already 7580, that's their SUV. Used Uruses are still, like, one 75, and the price point is pretty similar new”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 34:41
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Doug DeMuro: License Plate Readers Will End Montana Vehicle Registration Loopholes
“I really think with the advent of license plate readers and with states just starting to realize how pervasive this has become, it's just really going to start becoming more and more difficult to do.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 36:47
Assertion Supported
DeMuro: Sam Altman owns a McLaren F1
“And Sam has an F one.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 42:47
Assertion Supported
DeMuro: Gordon Murray car commissioner ordered five units and selected buyers
“The commissioner of that car commissioned five and personally selected along with Gordon Murray, three people to sell three others to, he kept two and then decided to sell one publicly.”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 43:04
Assertion Not checkable as stated
DeMuro: Right-Hand Drive Limits Resale Markets for Brunei Royal Car Collection
“Part of the problem also with selling all the cars is that they're all right hand drives. So There's a little bit of a challenge into where they would have to be sold. There's only a few markets”
Doug DeMuro Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 45:13
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