why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roberto Nixon: No Wealth Creation Event Will Ever Match AI, Except Perhaps Robotics
“There will never be another wealth creation event like AI. I think maybe personal humanoid robotics, but what an amazing, amazing time to be alive.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Open source will prevail as AI's winning foundational layer
“I'm a big believer that open source will prevail and that'll be sort of like the winning Foundational layer that AI is going to be built on top of”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Prompt engineering is a fleeting trend, soon comparable to Googling
“I actually, I'm not as bullish on the idea of a prompt engineer as most, right? I think it'll be like knowing how to use Google or Excel. It's just like a particular skill that'll be helpful. But no, I think the pro I mean, like one of our main ambitions too, …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Standalone AI tools face major threat from incumbent software integration
“I think the most fierce competition are going to be the incumbents, you know, like a lot of this technology is going to be built into the products that we know and love and use today. Right. So eventually like you know, even, even mid journey, I think they're …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nixon: AI will fully commoditize basic informative video content
“What I try not to do is an information dump because I think that's going to be heavily commoditized by AI. There's going to be no point in having a human do it.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nixon: Sora 2 Will Create Multi-Millionaires in the Coming Weeks
“There's going to be millionaires, many, many millionaires minted, multi-millionaires over the next few weeks with messing around with Sora too.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roberto Nixon: Builders Can Create 7-Figure Internet Businesses in 24 Months
“I truly believe that if you're listening today, you can productize yourself, just literally take your expertise, your knowledge, your interests, your passions, what, you know, what you're good at, what you love, and you can package that up into a really, reall…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Users will soon generate custom software, games, and entertainment on demand
“What I think is going to happen, and I made a video about it today, actually, I just posted it, but like you are going to be able to generate anything that you want, enter any entertainment medium that you want. Curated to your taste. So like, yeah, maybe, may…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nixon: Mobile games sometimes employ more psychologists than designers
“A lot of these casinos or like a lot of these micro games, like the Clash Royale games of the world, people don't realize they actually have more
like data engineers and like psychologists on staff sometimes and like engineers and designers, because that is …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Personal content inbound is 100x higher than faceless media brands
“My inbound for my personal content has been a hundred x, even, even metaverse to the bull run, a hundred x what that inbound looked like”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Generative AI apps will suffer high churn without daily utility
“I think there's going to be a lot of churn on a lot of these products because it's really cool. It's fascinating technology, but some of them are not just so helpful in the day to day, right?”
Prediction Held up
Nickson predicts fully AI-generated streamers and influencers by late 2023
“Obviously by the end of the year, we're going to have fully AI generated streamers, influencers, et cetera.”
Assertion Supported
Nixon: OpenAI AgentKit lets users build agentic workflows for free without code
“OpenAI just launched Agent Kit, and I think it's important to understand what it is because it lets anybody build agentic workflows without writing code for free.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nixon: Studio contains north of $100,000 worth of gear
“In this studio, there's probably, I don't know, maybe like a hundred grand worth of gear north, maybe a little north.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Nickson grew personal and brand accounts by 730K followers in 100 days
“Yeah, I think for my personal, I've gone maybe 400,000 across all all my personal socials in the last hundred days. And then again, like a Luna in the last hundred days You know, 230 K followers. I think metaverse has added another 100,000 or so over the last …”