The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Ball: Quantum Computing Will Be Solved Within Our Lifetime
“The field of quantum computing is one of those other areas where we think in terms of fantastical ideas, this is a Jetsons thing, it's not a human thing, but there's increasing consensus that that technological problem will solve within our lifetime, in which …”
Ball: Metaverse will exacerbate existing internet harms like disinformation and platform power
“I think we can fairly look at the state of the internet today and identify many problems, mis and disinformation, radicalization, toxicity, harassment, abuse. Data rights, data security, data literacy, platform power, platform regulation. And we can understand…”
Ball: Web3 will supplement the future, not replace TCP/IP
“I'm not one of the revisionists that believes that we're going to strip out TCP IP and replace it with web three. But I do believe and am quite optimistic that parts of our future are going to be supplemented by these technologies. But I do think it's still a …”
Ball: Humanity Will Reach Mars Before Building a True Metaverse
“I think to not cheat your answer, I think we'll hit Mars first, and I certainly hope that's the case.”
Ball: Real Virtual Worlds Foster Creation and Collaboration
“Second Life, the text-based worlds of the sixties and seventies, Roblox, Fortnite, they are not designed on subjugation. But self-expression, collaboration, creation.”
Ball: Fortnite's Travis Scott Concert Ran Across 250,000 Separate Simulations
“There were over 250,000 simultaneous simulations of that concert, none of which were precisely in synchronization. I mean, some of them probably were, but think of them as being 20, 50, 80 milliseconds separated, a minute separated. And each of those simulatio…”
Ball: Current Tech Cannot Support 200 People in Rich Virtual Worlds
“And that's because we don't have the technology required for even 200 people really to be in what we call a richly rendered virtual environment.”
Ball: Persistent Metaverse Requires a 1,000x Increase in Computing Power
“In strict technical terms, the general consensus advocated by folks at Intel and Meta is a thousand factor increase in computing power. We are up about a hundred since 2000. So we need a thousand on top of that.”
Ball: 2014-2016 GPU advances enabled high-concurrency battle royale games
“It was really around 2014 to 20 16 that we had graphical processing units, GPUs, that were powerful enough and widely deployed enough into standard consumer hardware to support what we call high concurrency games. That's large numbers of people in the same sha…”
Ball: Top Five Battle Royales Dwarf Traditional Gaming Audience Size
“The entire traditional gaming industry has about 250 to three hundred million people in it. And yet the top five battle royales were reaching several hundred million people per day, many of whom had never participated.”
Ball: 75% of Children Aged 9 to 12 Regularly Use Roblox
“Three-quarters of those between nine and 12 use Roblox regularly.”
Ball: US Military Built Top-25 Supercomputer Using 1,700 Networked PlayStation 3s
“Late last decade,
The 25th most powerful computer owned by the US military was 1700 PlayStation threes.
And by the way, they said that by using PlayStation threes interconnected de-shelled, they used 95% less energy to operate it and spent 10% of the alternati…”