why aren't all 30 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Kilpatrick: Gemini 3.0 Pro API undercuts GPT-5.1 Pro and Claude 4.5
“The actual model is two dollars per million input tokens and 12 dollars per million output tokens. So it's priced below some of those sort of comparable competitive models like GBT, 5.1 pro as an example, and Claude 4.5.”
Insight
Direct AI creation preserves story fidelity better than human intermediary layers
“What happens when you, as the person who like has a story to tell or like some idea, you have to like put it through this translate, this translation layer, especially when the translation layer is sometimes like a, you know, a bunch of people or something lik…”
Assertion Contradicted
Image quality does not degrade across multi-turn AI conversational edits
“The model doesn't like the image quality doesn't get worse as you like do a multi-turn edit. So like you don't need to get everything right on the first edit.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kilpatrick: Real-time multimodal models will become co-present pair programmers
“I think the future that we're going to see with the multimodal live API is really the ability for the model to or just like generally for models to be co-present in the experiences that you are. And like, you could imagine your IDE is the best experience of th…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kilpatrick: Users can vibe-code real-time games with Gemini 3 Pro
“And I think with Gemini Three Pro, you can just, Vibe code games in real time, which is really, really awesome.”
Insight
Kilpatrick: Generating games is a proxy for an LLM's overall sophistication
“Games are just a proxy for like the model's overall capability. So like, Hey, maybe you're like, I don't actually care about building games. I think as you see some of these examples, it like speaks to the level of sophistication that the model has an understa…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kilpatrick: AI Studio demo was vibe-coded quickly, replacing months of engineering
“This is meant to showcase like, you know, single prompt, Generations maybe like a couple of multi-turn in some case, but like this isn't something that like we paid a team of like 10 engineers five months to come up with and then put it into our demo. Like thi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kilpatrick: Gemini generated a 20-simulator physics app in one shot
“So we have, like, 20 different simulators running at the same time. This was one-shot vibe coded as well.”
Insight
Kilpatrick: Live prototyping during client calls wins customers unaware of AI tools
“If you go to sort of the long tail of like random businesses in America and like meet the business owner, they have not played with these tools. And if you can sort of build something in real time, like I think that blows the mind of so many people and also be…”
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Gemini 3.0 Pro latency roughly matches Gemini 2.5 Pro
“I think for folks, again, who have used 2.5 pro, I think three point O pro is like roughly on par from a latency standpoint. So there's no I think in some cases it's actually, it's a little bit higher latency, but obviously the model is much smarter.”
Opinion
Kilpatrick: Google AI Studio is best-in-class in areas but still behind in others
“I think there is a, we have a bunch of gaps. There's a bunch of things that I'm really excited about, like it's free, it's powered by three point O pro. It has all these AI features built in. Like there's a bunch of things that are unique that I think we're li…”
Opinion
Only a handful of products currently serve massive consumer AI image demand
“My broad take is there's a huge amount of consumer interest in this type of use case. And the, if you look at like what products are available to actually like serve Of customers who are interested in this, it's like pretty limited. It's probably like a handfu…”
Insight
Kilpatrick: Combining Existing APIs with AI Unlocks Viable SaaS Businesses
“What happens if you take five random different products, and you bring them all together, and you put AI in the middle? Like, that's actually, like, a real business all of a sudden. And the amount of work to do that is, like, actually pretty pretty small relat…”
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Google AI Studio Offers 1.5 Billion Free Tokens for Gemini
“The API keys actually by default are also free, so you can get, like, 1.5 billion tokens using Gemini across a bunch of different models for free today.”
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Gemini 3 Pro is free for app building in AI Studio
“You're going to be able to build apps using Gemini three pro for free in AI studio.”
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Gemini 3 is live in apps, AI Studio, and APIs
“It's available across a bunch of Google services like the Gemini app. If you're sort of looking for an assistant or the API for developers and enterprises, if you want to build this experience or build Gemini three into your own products.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kilpatrick: Tempo Strike camera motion game was vibe coded via Gemini
“That is all vibe coded just using the camera out of the box, which is a ton of fun.”
Disclosure
Kilpatrick: Google AI Studio directly hooks generated apps into Gemini API
“Behind the scenes for folks who haven't played around this experience before, we have sort of all the Gemini API, like all of Google's AI model infrastructure hooked up behind the scenes. So when you ask for AI features the model is like really well primed and…”
Insight
Kilpatrick: Prompting models for 5 extra features solves vibe coding block
“And I, my routinely use this sort of prompt, which I have here, which is just like add in five additional features. And the model sort of takes in all this context and all these ideas that I wouldn't have thought of. And like, even if they're crappy ideas, I c…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gemini 2.5 Flash Image is Google's state-of-the-art image generation model
“We're talking about Nano Banana, AKA Gemini, 2.5 flash image, which is our new Gemini state of the art image generation and specifically image editing model which folks are loving and no pun intended going bananas for right now.”
Insight
Low latency in generation models unlocks previously unbuildable image editing experiences
“There's a lot of these like editing experiences or these generation experiences that you can't usually build just because like it takes 45 seconds and like our user is really going to sit there and wait while the thing is generating. So there's like a, there's…”
Assertion Supported
Google's Gemini 2.5 Flash Image costs roughly four cents per image
“It's also only like, I think it's like roughly four cents for an image to be generated too. So it's like You know, you can let people go wild, and you're not going to break the bank, which is really great. It's like a thousand images is 40 bucks.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Logan Kilpatrick vibe-coded an ad generator demo using a single prompt
“This is completely vibe coded. You can see this is literally one shot as well.”
Assertion Supported
The Google AI Studio prototyping and testing experience is completely free
“All of this experience that we've looked at so far is completely free. So you can do all this, like, you know, ideally you build a great product with this and you end up using the Gemini API and all that stuff, but like, you don't necessarily need to. The expe…”
Insight
Layering multiple edit instructions causes AI image models to lose intent
“The model is capable of like doing multiple things in a single turn if you're, if you give precise enough instructions, but I think it oftentimes like kind of loses the gist of what you were trying to say if you like layer multiple instructions together.”
Opinion
Interactive interfaces showcase AI capabilities far better than standard chat experiences
“The like chat experience is cool, but like sometimes they'll like it like gets my gears turning in a different way to like see the experience, like come to life in this way of like interactively interfacing with the models beyond just chatting with them, I thi…”
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Google reasoning model is available for free to developers
“We have our reasoning model available for free for developers. You can use it in AI studio. You can go and get an API key and use it as well.”
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Gemini natively incorporates spatial understanding and object localization
“So this is a capability that is like Baked into the model itself, where it's like really able to deeply understand different objects and the ways in which they're sort of visually represented.”
Disclosure
Kilpatrick: Inventory management companies use Gemini bounding boxes for capacity tracking
“I've worked with a bunch of companies that do like inventory management and like this type of bounding box example, like matters a lot for them. So that like, they can just literally like snap pictures or have real time video feeds to like, you know, how much …”
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Google AI Studio UI exposes model thoughts, but API abstracts them
“So we're showing these thoughts in the UI. If you were using the API, you actually wouldn't see these thoughts. It's sort of abstracted behind the scenes, but we showcase it in the UI just to sort of give you an intuition of what's happening.”