why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: Vector Clustering Detects Undisclosed and Illegal Paid News Sponsorships
“I can detect when something is a paid sponsorship, even when sometimes people aren't calling it out as such, which is like really scary and illegal, because I will see, I can detect the similarity and distance difference between the vectors of the published co…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: Building Custom Personal Apps Will Become Norm Within Six Months
“If there's a workout app that you don't like because the buttons placement doesn't do it for you or doesn't track one key core metric, like you just build your own. Right. And like, that's going to be the norm in, you know, if it isn't already, it's gonna be t…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: VC Will Evolve Dramatically as Founders Bootstrap $10M Businesses
“I think VC is going to evolve dramatically over the next couple of years. Cause I believe that people don't need to raise capital and oftentimes most ideas, especially like just great lifestyle businesses that get to, you know, two, four or five, ten million i…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg launched Facebook's Like button after dinners with Kevin Rose
“Facebook introduced the like button about a year later, I'd had multiple dinners with Zuckerberg talking about social voting and things like that.”
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose: Gemini Search Grounding Bypasses Scraper Blocks on Sites Like Reddit
“Oftentimes they won't come out and say this, but they kind of crawl the article and give you back what the article actually says. And they might reword it a little bit, but it's largely what the article says. And I can prove that because they can, you can do t…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rose: Old software concepts will be revived as build costs approach zero
“There are a lot of things that I feel will see the light of day again, but slightly modified because it, the cost to do so is, is, is next to nothing”
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose: Zero Intermittent Fasting App Generates Double-Digit Millions in Revenue
“When I made Xero the intermittent fasting app, I was like, I just want a way to track my fast and like have a silly little timer. And then, you know, the company's doing double digits, millions of dollars in revenue off of a little like timer app with some oth…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Kevin Rose predicts AI will allow interactive conversations with podcast hosts
“There's no doubt in my mind
That we go out and we train you know, all of AI on people's previous podcasts.
So let's say I'm listening to the Tim Ferriss show.
You could go in and say, I'm going to take that back catalog of 200 and some episodes, train on that …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: Future generations will use AI to recreate their deceased parents
“But we certainly will, like, my kids will be able to do that with me.”
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose: Digg reached 38 million monthly unique visitors before failing
“We grew to thirty eight million monthly uniques.”
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose adopted Bitcoin in 2011 and Ethereum at a few dollars
“My first tweet about Bitcoin was in 20 11, I think, and I was talking about Ethereum on Tim Ferriss show when it was a few dollars”