The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 26 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: Vector Clustering Detects Undisclosed and Illegal Paid News Sponsorships
“I can detect when something is a paid sponsorship, even when sometimes people aren't calling it out as such, which is like really scary and illegal, because I will see, I can detect the similarity and distance difference between the vectors of the published co…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 30:47 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: Building Custom Personal Apps Will Become Norm Within Six Months
“If there's a workout app that you don't like because the buttons placement doesn't do it for you or doesn't track one key core metric, like you just build your own. Right. And like, that's going to be the norm in, you know, if it isn't already, it's gonna be t…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 36:01 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: VC Will Evolve Dramatically as Founders Bootstrap $10M Businesses
“I think VC is going to evolve dramatically over the next couple of years. Cause I believe that people don't need to raise capital and oftentimes most ideas, especially like just great lifestyle businesses that get to, you know, two, four or five, ten million i…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 53:13 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg launched Facebook's Like button after dinners with Kevin Rose
“Facebook introduced the like button about a year later, I'd had multiple dinners with Zuckerberg talking about social voting and things like that.”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 3:29 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Disclosure
Kevin Rose is actively seeking to invest in AI companionship startups
“I've been desperately trying to invest in this space because I believe companionship and obviously we have an epidemic of kind of this loneliness culture that's going on and that, and this is going to be, you know, whether we like it or not, a solved problem w…”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 50:07 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Opinion
Rose: AI-Generated Code Is No Longer Slop and Improves Weekly
“I'm not even calling it slop anymore. Like they call the AI slop or whatever it may be, or whatever you want to look at the code. It's damn good. And it's getting better by the week.”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:50 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Disclosure
Kevin Rose: Rebooted Digg Is a Reddit Competitor Run by CEO Justin
“We have Justin as a CEO who runs kind of like the day to day and builds out, you know, the Reddit competitor version of dig. And then we have, you know, me that I'm kind of more in the labs area where I'm pushing on the edges of ideas and saying, what might we…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 6:04 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose: Gemini Search Grounding Bypasses Scraper Blocks on Sites Like Reddit
“Oftentimes they won't come out and say this, but they kind of crawl the article and give you back what the article actually says. And they might reword it a little bit, but it's largely what the article says. And I can prove that because they can, you can do t…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 12:29 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Insight
Kevin Rose: Vibe Coding Scalability Flaws Are Solved Easily Post-Traction
“The hardest thing to do is to find something that somebody actually wants to use, right? Like that's the hard problem. If I have something that I vibe coded and I launch it, and if it crashes under the weight of 50,000 people beating my door down because it's …”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 40:13 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Insight
Rose: Paring Down Scope Will Be the Core Skill for Future Engineers
“So I think that the future engineer and the future developer and the future product builder here, it's not going to be what you build as much as what you do. If that kind of makes sense, because it's going to be so easy to build anything and everything to pair…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 2:32 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rose: Old software concepts will be revived as build costs approach zero
“There are a lot of things that I feel will see the light of day again, but slightly modified because it, the cost to do so is, is, is next to nothing”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 48:57 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose: Zero Intermittent Fasting App Generates Double-Digit Millions in Revenue
“When I made Xero the intermittent fasting app, I was like, I just want a way to track my fast and like have a silly little timer. And then, you know, the company's doing double digits, millions of dollars in revenue off of a little like timer app with some oth…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 51:32 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Disclosure
True Ventures Invested Nearly $10M Into AI Ring Startup Sandbar
“We invest in a company called Sandbar that's doing this AI ring. I don't know if you've seen the prototypes for it. But it's really cool. And you know, they, I can't remember what, how much you put in, it was close to ten million or something like that, but it…”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 55:19 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Disclosure
Kevin Rose swears off building social networks due to hate and spam
“I can't bring myself to ever want to build in that space again because, you know, controlling the masses or trying to create an environment where there's like just a real good civil debate and not hate and spam and everything else. It's just, it is an absolute…”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 9:09 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Kevin Rose predicts AI will allow interactive conversations with podcast hosts
“There's no doubt in my mind That we go out and we train you know, all of AI on people's previous podcasts. So let's say I'm listening to the Tim Ferriss show. You could go in and say, I'm going to take that back catalog of 200 and some episodes, train on that …”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 14:46 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Insight
Kevin Rose: VC funds expect 90% of their startup investments to fail
“Here's the cold harsh truth is that, you know, nine out of 10 startups go to zero. Like they can just completely fail. Right. And we see this at the VC level. It's like, we expect almost all of our startups that we invest in to go completely to zero and that's…”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 25:43 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kevin Rose: Future generations will use AI to recreate their deceased parents
“But we certainly will, like, my kids will be able to do that with me.”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 46:35 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Disclosure
Kevin Rose: I lacked coding ability to build Nylon without AI tools
“I understood technically how to pull this off in terms of the tools that would be required, but I couldn't write the code to do it.”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 9:31 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Disclosure
Rose: Gemini enables extracting full YouTube transcripts for embeddings
“The reason I like Gemini is because they're tied in with YouTube obviously, and I can get transcripts back from full YouTube videos, which is great for vector embeddings when I want to figure out what it's actually about.”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 14:18 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Opinion
Rose: Vercel AI Gateway lets builders swap models without recoding
“I will say Vercel's AI gateway is a great way to kind of code once and just flip a model on, on the go. So highly recommend checking out Vercel AI gateway as a way to quickly swap models rather than having to recode it.”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 16:24 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Insight
Rose: Vector Embeddings Distinguish Directional Context Unlike Keyword Search
“The beautiful thing about what we have today with our understanding of linguistics and around using vector embeds and algorithms on top of that is that you can say, There is a difference, even though they're both have the same type of keywords, but there is a …”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 17:52 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Disclosure
Rose: Running Thousands of Daily Cloud Tasks Costs Under $100 Monthly
“I'm running thousands and thousands of these, and you know, I, yeah, it's like under a hundred dollars a month, and that's, I mean, when I say thousands, I mean like per day.”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 23:27 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Disclosure
Rose: Prototype app Nylon cost only $500 to build
“It's, it cost me 500 dollars and I flush it down the drain and onto the next thing.”
Kevin Rose Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 47:15 Screensharing Kevin Rose's AI Workflow/New App
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose: Digg reached 38 million monthly unique visitors before failing
“We grew to thirty eight million monthly uniques.”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 3:26 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Disclosure
Kevin Rose will write a check to founders building retro TV hardware
“I would love to back someone that would be serious about creating this. Like I would write the check to make it happen.”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 34:53 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
Assertion Supported
Kevin Rose adopted Bitcoin in 2011 and Ethereum at a few dollars
“My first tweet about Bitcoin was in 20 11, I think, and I was talking about Ethereum on Tim Ferriss show when it was a few dollars”
Kevin Rose Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 1:01:24 Watch this if you want free $1m-$100m business ideas (with Kevin Rose)
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