why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Wolfe: Kurion technology removed 99% of radiation at Fukushima
“This thing that was just conceived In our New York office ended up removing 99% of the radiation from the Fukushima disaster, particularly around cesium and strontium”
Prediction Held up
Wolfe predicts the digitization of human scent and machine olfaction
“The digitization of human scent is coming.
Shazam for smell.
The ability to identify a single molecule in a room is coming.
The ability, not only a single molecule that has meaning to you.
I mean, literally a molecule, a structure actually conveys to you know,…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Josh Wolfe: Modern AI research will help unlock human consciousness mysteries
“I think we are going to learn more about human consciousness as we interrogate the systems and try to understand how much of the modern approaches in an AI are working to sense, make models, make predictions on those models, iterate and learn.
And I think that…”
Assertion Supported
Wolfe: Illumina originally focused on chemical sensing, not gene sequencing
“Illumina was not focused on gene sequencing when they first started. They were doing like chemical sensing and other kind of random stuff. That was the intersection of like microfluidics that were based on a microchip and biotech and then ultimately genetics.”
Assertion Supported
Wolfe: Larry Bock took 14 of 17 startups public, generating $50B
“This was a guy who had made hundreds of millions of dollars, and had founded 17 companies from scratch, taking 14 of them public, cumulative market cap over fifty billion dollars Illumina, Pharmacopia, Ida, and Athena, NeuroKrin, just incredible, and had the c…”