The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butcher: Twitter will not be used in its current form by 2030
“I'm going to say no. I think we're going like fractured networks will Spin off my vision is like, maybe Twitter is a protocol, right?”
Jack Butcher Nov 23, 2022 ▶ 49:09 Building the Right Product, At the Right Time, For the Right People - with Jack Butcher
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butcher: By 2030, fewer people will be designers, but more will design
“I think less people calling themselves graphic designers, but more people doing graphic design and inverted commas, more people like generating visuals, whether that's like through a text interface or like sitting down.”
Jack Butcher Nov 23, 2022 ▶ 54:33 Building the Right Product, At the Right Time, For the Right People - with Jack Butcher
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butcher: Traditional job titles will fade over the next 10 to 30 years
“I just think job titles in general probably gonna be Not as prominent in our culture in 10, 20, 30 years time, especially for the terminally online, like ourselves.”
Jack Butcher Nov 23, 2022 ▶ 55:54 Building the Right Product, At the Right Time, For the Right People - with Jack Butcher
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butcher: Consumer NFT adoption by 2030 will center on loyalty and ticketing
“It'll probably be like a loyalty card or a plane ticket or a concert, something like that, you know, something that's like Membership oriented in some way, like to interact with a business in some fashion, I reckon.”
Jack Butcher Nov 23, 2022 ▶ 52:00 Building the Right Product, At the Right Time, For the Right People - with Jack Butcher
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Butcher: AI output quality will still depend on creator talent
“The ability to create prompts, there's still going to be differentiated outputs based on the talent of the person who is using the technology.”
Jack Butcher Nov 23, 2022 ▶ 55:13 Building the Right Product, At the Right Time, For the Right People - with Jack Butcher
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