The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bush: Athletic Greens for pets is the single best business idea
“Your idea on pet supplements. A pet AG one, I think, is the single best business idea in the world right now.”
Bush: Society discourages childhood obsession, funneling kids into corporate jobs
“I think school, other parents, society in general discourages that kind of like obsession or intensity where I'd pick up a new thing and I'd only do that for months and get as good as it as I could quickly. And I always say my parents will let me do whatever I…”
Bush: Twitter accounts that mock thread writers play the same engagement game
“Like you look at some of these people on Twitter who have their entire thing on Twitter has become making fun of people writing on Twitter. But all they're doing now is trying to get likes on Twitter the same way the other person is doing. They're just appeali…”
Bush: Portfolio founders should delegate execution to operators to protect risk-reward
“And I think from a portfolio company perspective, that's where you want to get to. Because right now you go, I'd have to write it. I'd have to do the research. I'd have to, and it's just not worth the upside. The risk reward relative to the other opportunities…”
Bush: Paid newsletters better align incentives than one-off products
“Versus a lot of other companies that when you sell a one-off product, It's the last thing and it aligns incentives for you to continue to deliver high quality information because you're going to lose that customer and then the ability to sell them more things.”
Bush: Niche health Twitter predicts mainstream wellness trends by two years
“Esoteric health Twitter Is always two years ahead of like everyone else. So they're already on that train of like anti-optimization now leaning more into like intuition and things like that.”
Bush: Luxury rentals capture 90% of value before hedonic adaptation hits
“I think about that a lot with like the hedonic adaptation of nice things, like renting a nice car, you can get 90% of the benefit, and then you, like, if you rent a really nice car for three days, on the fourth day, you start to pick out things about the car t…”
Bush: Playing RuneScape taught him more about business than college
“I, to this day, learned more playing RuneScape about business, economies, working with a team, monotonous work than I learned in college or really anything.”
Bush: Generic tool roundup threads build audience size, not personal relationships
“If you only write threads about Google docs and, you know, Chrome extensions, you're not building any kind of personal relationship, but it's okay if you choose to play that game.”
Bush: Audience engagement stems from posting about one niche for 18 months
“The only reason people are paying attention to that is because I talked about a singular thing pretty much every single day for a year and a half.”